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Baylor vs. TCU - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs (4-4) at Baylor Bears (6-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 3:30 pm (McLane Stadium)

The Line: Baylor Bears -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The TCU Horned Frogs and Baylor Bears square off in a key Big 12 college football game Saturday at McLane Stadium on FOX.

The TCU Horned Frogs could use a big road victory after losing three of their last four games and falling to a .500 record. The TCU Horned Frogs have seven victories over ranked teams since the 2014 season. Kenny Hill is completing 62 percent of his passes for 2,450 yards, 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Hill has two touchdown passes in his last three games. Taj Williams and John Diarse have combined for 953 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Kyle Hicks has 31 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 166.6 yards per contest, and Hicks leads the way with 597 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 30.1 points and 409.6 yards per game. Travin Howard leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 88 tackles, Mat Boesen has six sacks and Nick Orr has four interceptions.

Baylor vs. TCU - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Baylor Bears look to remain unbeaten at home and remain in the college football playoff conversation. The Baylor Bears have lost back-to-back games just once since the 2013 season. Seth Russell is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 1,696 yards, 18 touchdowns and five interceptions. Russell has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 13 games. KD Cannon and Ishmael Zamora have combined for 803 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Blake Lynch has 20 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 299.2 yards per contest, and Terence Williams leads the way with 623 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 19.7 points and 352.9 yards per game. Aiavion Edwards leads the Baylor Bears with 57 tackles, Taylor Young has four sacks and Orion Stewart has four interceptions.

The Horned Frogs are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bears are 29-11 ATS in their last 40 home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baylor and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings overall.

Baylor did not look good in its loss to Texas last week, but the TCU Horned Frogs haven't looked good for the last month, and that includes just a one-point win over the Kansas Jayhawks. TCU could easily be riding a four-game losing streak right now and playing an angry Baylor team on the road likely isn't going to end well for the Horned Frogs. The home team has covered much of the meetings between TCU and Baylor, and I like that trend to continue here.

Give me Baylor by double digits.

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