Illinois vs. Michigan State - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (2-6) at Illinois Fighting Illini (2-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in Big Ten college football at Memorial Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans could use a feel good road victory that would snap a rough six-game losing streak. The Michigan State Spartans have lost three of their last four road games. Tyler O'Connor is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 1,341 yards, 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. O'Connor and Brian Lewerke have combined for 14 touchdown passes this season. R.J. Shelton and Donnie Corley have combined for 921 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Monty Madaris has 18 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 163 yards per contest, and LJ Scott leads the way with 603 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 30 points and 394 yards per game. Chris Frey leads the Michigan State Spartans with 66 tackles, Raequan Williams has two sacks and Darian Hicks has two interceptions.
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The Illinois Fighting Illini could also use a Big Ten victory after losing six of their last seven games. Five of the Illinois Fighting Illini last seven victories have come on their home field. Jeff George, Jr. is completing 40.8 percent of his passes for 251 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Wes Lunt is still questionable with a back injury after missing the last three weeks. Malik Turner and Zach Grant have combined for 647 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Justin Hardee has 12 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 163.1 yards per contest, and Kendrick Foster leads the way with 450 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 29.8 points and 396.8 yards per game. Hardy Nickerson leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 75 tackles, Carroll Phillips has six sacks and Darius Mosely has two interceptions.
The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Illinois and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall.
Illinois is not a good football team and is even worse with some of these injuries piling up. However, I wouldn't lay Michigan State a free touchdown against anybody in the Big Ten on the road with the way it's played. The Spartans aren't anything like the team from last year and are just waiting for this season to end and start over. I'll take Illinois and the free touchdown if forced to pick.