Iowa Hawkeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Iowa Hawkeyes (5-3) at Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -6.5 -- Over/Under: 53 See the Latest Odds
TV: BTN, BTN2
Over at Beaver Stadium in University Park on Saturday, we’ve got a great Big 10 college football matchup looming as the Iowa Hawkeyes travel to visit the Penn State Nittany Lions.
Iowa comes into this game sporting a 5-3 record on the season, fresh off a disappointing 17-9 loss to Wisconsin in their last outing. In that one, the Hawkeyes allowed 134 yards and a TD to Wisconsin RB Corey Clement, all but cementing the loss. On the other side, Iowa RBs Akrum Wadley and LeShun Daniels were only able to put up 79 combined rush yards, while QB CJ Beathard had a rough day on 17-of-33 passing for 153 yards. Wadley did manage to lead the Hawkeyes in receiving with seven catches for 72 yards, however.
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So far this season, Beathard is 118-of-201 for 1380 yards and an 11:4 TD:INT mark, while Wadley leads Iowa in rushing with 90 carries for 636 yards and eight touchdowns. Riley McCarron is the Hawkeyes’ lead receiver with his 30 catches for 336 yards and three scores.
As for Penn State, they’re entering play on Saturday with a 6-2 record and a No. 20 national ranking. In their last game, the Nittany Lions bagged a sweet 62-24 victory over Purdue, outscoring the Boilermakers 45-7 in the second half. Penn State QB Trace McSorley went 12-of-23 for 228 yards and three touchdowns, while RB Saquon Barkley romped all over the place with 18 carries, 207 yards and two scores. Barkley also led the Nittany Lions in receiving with three catches for 70 yards.
On the year thus far, McSorley is 123-of-223 for 1818 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Barkley has bagged 147 carries for 888 yards and 10 scores for Penn State. Chris Godwin leads the Nittany Lions in receiving for the year with 30 catches for 422 yards and five touchdowns.
Iowa is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games versus a team with a winning home record, and 16-6 ATS in their last 21 road games. Iowa is also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss.
Meanwhile, Penn State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four conference games, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games overall. Penn State is also 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win, and 3-1-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
This game is going to come down to the run, with Iowa’s Wadley and Daniels facing off against Barkley for Penn State. I’m a little more confident in Barkley at this point, as he’s helped the team to a four-game win streak with at least 24 points scored in each of those games. Iowa, meanwhile, has been barely eking by, with two of their last three wins coming by seven points or fewer. I see this as a run-heavy, clock-controlling game, and Penn State should be able to cover.