Louisiana-Monroe vs. South Alabama - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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South Alabama Jaguars (4-4) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 5:00 pm (Malone Stadium)
The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +13.5 -- Over/Under:
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and the South Alabama Jaguars face off on Saturday in week 10 college football action.
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks are 2-6 this season and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The ULM offense is averaging 22.6 points and 381.9 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 17 times. Warhawks QB Garrett Smith is out so Will Collins should start and he has completed 47.5 percent of his passes with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Ben Luckett is Louisiana-Monroe’s top rusher with 379 yards and 4 touchdowns and Marcus Green is the top receiver with 26 catches and 3 touchdowns and Ajalen Holley has 21 catches and a touchdown. The ULM defense is allowing 42.4 points and 488.4 yards per game with 3 interceptions, 7 fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. David Griffith is the Warhawks top tackler with 47 tackles, Nick Ingram has 38.5 tackles, and Cortez Sisco has 37 tackles. ULM is having a miserable year and it will take a big effort to stay competitive here.
The South Alabama Jaguars are 4-4 this season and their play has regressed as the season has gone on. The South Alabama offense is averaging 22.1 points and 351.4 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 12 times. USA QB Dallas Davis has completed 58.1 percent of his passes with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Xavier Johnson leads the Jaguars in rushing with 341 yards and 5 touchdowns and Tyreis Thomas has 260 yards and 4 touchdowns while Gerald Everett is the top receiver with 38 catches and 4 touchdowns and Josh Magee has 25 catches and 2 touchdowns. Defensively South Alabama is allowing 23.9 points and 375.4 yards per game with 3 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries, and they have 16 sacks. Roman Buchanan leads USA with 56 tackles, Jeremy Reaves has 50 tackles, and Randy Allen has 8 sacks. South Alabama is 2 wins away from being bowl eligible, which wasn’t something may expected before the season started.
Louisiana-Monroe is 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 Sun Belt games, 0-4 against the spread following a loss, and 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games. South Alabama is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 Sun Belt games, 8-20 against the spread in their last 28 games, and 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 road games.
We have two teams that aren’t playing well but ULM’s defense is just a sieve and I can see South Alabama moving the football. This is a ton of points to lay on the road in a conference game but I have little choice here except to take the favorite.