LSU vs. Alabama - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) at LSU Tigers (5-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Tiger Stadium)
The Line: LSU Tigers +7.5 -- Over/Under:
The LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday in Baton Rouge win a week 10 SEC college football match up.
The LSU Tigers are 5-2 this season and they have won their last 3 games and are playing their best football of the season. The LSU offense is averaging 29.9 points and 423.7 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 11 times. LSU QB Danny Etling has completed 60.5 percent of his passes with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions since taking over as the starter. Leonard Fournette is healthy again and he is averaging 8.1 yards per carry with 5 touchdowns and Derrius Guice is averaging 8.0 yards per carry with 7 touchdowns while Travin Dural has 24 catches and a touchdown and Malachi Dupre has 23 catches and a touchdown. The LSU defense is allowing 15 points and 313.9 yards per game with 6 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 20 sacks. Kendell Beckwith leads the LSU defense with 69 tackles, Duke Riley has 59 tackles, and Arden Key has 8 sacks. With a win here LSU will control their own destiny in the SEC West.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-0 and the number 1 ranked team in the nation as they continue their pursuit of back-to-back National Championships. The Alabama offense is averaging 43.9 points and 498 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 12 times. Bama QB Jalen Hurts has completed 63.1 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions and he has rushed for 521 yards and 9 touchdowns. Damien Harris leads the Alabama ground attack with 697 yards and a touchdown and Calvin Ridley has 43 catches and 5 touchdowns and ArDarius Stewart has 28 catches and 3 touchdowns despite missing several games. The Alabama defense has been rock solid allowing 14.9 points and 274.5 yards per game with 8 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries, and 32 sacks. Reuben Foster has 53 tackles, Jonathan Allen has 6 sacks, and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 3 interceptions. Alabama has played nearly flawless football so far this season.
LSU is 5-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread, 7-3 against the spread following a bye week, and 4-1 against the spread at home against a team with a winning home record. Alabama is 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 road games. The favorite has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings of these 2 teams.
LSU has played better recently and they have a great running attack but there are still big issues at QB and facing a Bama defense that turns turnovers into points I believe the Tigers are in trouble. We have seen similar scenarios in this series in the past and usually it turns out all Alabama and I see it going that way here as well.