Middle Tennessee vs. UTSA - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UTSA Roadrunners (4-4) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 2:30 pm (Floyd Stadium)
The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -17.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners will travel to Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners improved to 4-4 (3-2 C-USA) on the season after defeating the North Texas Mean Green, 31-17, this past Saturday. Texas-San Antonio jumped out to an early 14-0 lead at halftime and put the game away in the 4th quarter with a Jalen Rhodes 19-yd TD run with 9:51 left to play. The Roadrunners were outgained by the Mean Green by a 409-318 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin. Leading the way for Texas-San Antonio was RB Jalen Rhodes who had 2 TD and 74 rushing yards on 9 carries. On the season, Texas-San Antonio is averaging 29.5 ppg on 382.1 total yards per game (219.3 passing, 162.9 rushing). Offensively, the Roadrunners have been led by QB Dalton Sturm who has completed 60.9% of his passes for 15 TD and 4 INT while averaging 192.5 passing yds/game. The Road runners have a solid rushing attack led by Jalen Rhodes (12.8 att/g, 74.9 yds/g, 7 TD) and Jarveon Williams (14.0 att/g, 58.9 yds/g, 3 TD). Josh Stewart (2.4 rec/g, 55.0 yds/g, 3 TD), Kerry Thomas Jr (2.4 rec/g, 36.1 yds/g, 6 TD), and Brady Jones (2.0 rec/g, 25.8 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Roadrunners. Defensively, Texas-San Antonio is allowing their opponents to average 26.9 ppg on 411.3 total yards per game (234.8 passing, 176.5 rushing). Texas-San Antonio has forced 13 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +4.
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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won their 2nd straight game and improved to 6-2 (3-1 C-USA) on the season after defeating the FIU Golden Panthers, 42-35, this past Saturday. In a back and forth game, Middle Tennessee was able to pull out the victory after a D.J. Sanders pick-six with just 1:22 remaining in the game. Middle Tennessee was outgained by FIU by a 517-466 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Blue Raiders was QB Brent Stockstill who completed 19 of 32 passes for 296 yards and 4 TD. On the season, Middle Tennessee is averaging 40.5 ppg on 538.5 total yards per game (347.1 passing, 191.4 rushing). Offensively, Middle Tennessee has been led by QB Brent Stockstill who has completed 63.3% of his passes for 26 TD and 5 INT while averaging 333.4 passing yds/game. Stockstill’s main targets in the passing game have been Richie James (8.5 rec/g, 129.0 yds/g, 8 TD), Ty Lee (4.8 rec/g, 53.1 yds/g, 6 TD), I’Tavius Mathers (4.8 rec/g, 47.9 yds/g, 3 TD), Dennis Andrews (2.5 rec/g, 35.9 yds/g, 5 TD), and Patrick Smith (3.0 rec/g, 35.3 yds/g, 2 TD). The Blue Raiders rushing attack has been led by I’Tavius Mathers who has 12 rushing TD’s on the season and is averaging 136.0 rushing yds/game. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 29.9 ppg on 440.0 total yards per game (260.3 passing, 179.8 rushing). Middle Tennessee has committed just 8 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +5.
The Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record however, 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Texas-San Antonio has already been able to surpass their 2015 win total however, the Roadrunners have struggled a bit on the road this season as coming into this matchup with just a 1-2 record with their victory being a 14-13 win over the 1-7 Rice Owls. Middle Tennessee has one of the most explosive offenses in the country and has two outstanding playmakers in QB Brent Stockstill and RB I’Tavius Mathers. Middle Tennessee was able to defeat Texas-San Antonio by a 42-7 margin on the road last season and as I don’t see the Blue Raiders 7th ranked passing offense being slowed down by the 74th ranked passing defense of the Roadrunners, I’m take Middle Tennessee to win big at home and cover this spread. Take Middle Tennessee to cover.