Troy vs. Massachusetts - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen (2-7) at Troy Trojans (6-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Troy Trojans -20.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Massachusetts Minutemen and Troy Trojans clash Saturday in a college football game at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
The Massachusetts Minutemen look for back-to-back wins for the first time this season to climb out of a brutal 2-7 hole. The Massachusetts Minutemen have three road wins since the 2014 season. Andrew Ford is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 1,719 yards, 19 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Ford has three touchdown passes in each of his last three games. Adam Breneman and Andy Isabella have combined for 1,209 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Jalen Williams has 12 receptions. The Massachusetts Minutemen ground game is averaging 110.3 yards per contest, and Marquis Young leads the way with 689 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, UMass is allowing 30.8 points and 448.6 yards per game. Steve Casali leads the Massachusetts Minutemen with 77 tackles, Da'Sean Downey has five sacks and Shane Huber has one interception.
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The Troy Trojans look to build on their Sun Belt lead and remain undefeated at home. The Troy Trojans have lost seven home games since the 2014 season. Brandon Silvers is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,834 yards, 15 touchdowns and six interceptions. Silvers has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. Deondre Douglas and Emanuel Thompson have combined for 876 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Tevaris McCormick has 11 receptions. The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 198.8 yards per contest, and Jordan Chunn leads the way with 816 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 19.9 points and 377.3 yards per game. William Lloyd leads the Troy Trojans with 36 tackles, Rashad Dillard has 5.5 sacks and Blace Brown has four interceptions.
The Minutemen are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The over is 17-6 in Trojans last 23 home games and the under is 5-2 in Minutemen last 7 games in November.
Troy is obviously the better team here, but Massachusetts has been able to compete on the road and has covered four of its last five on the road overall. The Minutemen were able to hang around on the road against Florida and South Carolina this season. Meanwhile, Troy has played a lot of close games this season and may be in a lookahead spot with Appalachian State on deck.
Give me UMass and the points.