Arkansas State vs. New Mexico State - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -20.5 -- Over/Under:
The Arkansas State Redwolves and the New Mexico State Aggies face off on Saturday in week 11 college football action.
The Arkansas State Redwolves are 4-4 this season and they have won their last 4 games. The Arkansas State offense is averaging 24.1 points and 372.4 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 14 times. ASU QB Justice Hansen has completed 56.2 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Warren Wand leads the Redwolves in rushing with 516 yards and 3 touchdowns and Blake Mack is the top receiver with 27 catches and a touchdown. The Arkansas State defense is allowing 25.4 points and 408.1 yards per game with 6 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 16 sacks. Xavier Woodson-Luster leads the ASU defense with 63 tackles, Justin Clifton has 56 tackles, and Chris Odom has 6 sacks. Arkansas State seems to have put it together and are playing their best football of the season.
The New Mexico State Aggies are 2-6 this season and they have lost three in a row and 5 of their last 6. The New Mexico State offense is averaging 23.9 points and 419 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 14 times. Aggies QB Tyler Rogers has completed 55.4 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he has rushed for 260 yards and 3 touchdowns. Larry Rose III is NMSU’s top rusher with 370 yards and a touchdown and Gregory Hogan is the top receiver with 27 catches and 3 touchdowns. Defensively New Mexico State is allowing 42.9 points and 505 yards per game with 7 interceptions, 6 fumble recoveries, and 6 sacks. Rodney Butler is the Aggies top tackler with 113, Dalton Herrington has 70 tackles, and Terrill Hanks has 63 tackles. New Mexico State’s defense just doesn’t have the talent to compete at the FBS level.
Arkansas State is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 35-15-1 against the spread in their last 51 conference games. New Mexico State is 4-1 against the spread following a loss, 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games, and 6-16 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread. New Mexico State is 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games against Arkansas State.
This seems like a lot of points but in these games it seems once a team gets rolling there are a lot of big plays. Look for Arkansas State to hit on a lot of big plays and win going away.