Georgia State vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-6) at Georgia State Panthers (2-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 2:00 pm (Georgia Dome)
The Line: Georgia State Panthers -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will travel to the Georgia Dome to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks snapped a two-game losing streak and improved to 3-6 (2-3 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 42-35 OT, this past Saturday. Louisiana-Monroe allowed South Alabama to tie the game with just :50 seconds to go in the 4th to force OT, however, scored a TD in the opening possession and got a huge sack on 4th down to secure the win. Louisiana-Monroe was outgained by South Alabama by a 516-460 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana-Monroe completed 26 of 38 passes for 279 yards, 3 TD, and an INT. On the season, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 24.8 ppg on 390.6 total yards per game (216.0 passing, 174.6 rushing). Offensively, leading the way for the Warhawks is QB Caleb Evans (64.2 Comp %, 4 TD, 3 INT, 118.5 yds/g) who replaced Garrett Smith (57.5 Comp %, 9 TD, 7 INT, 206.2 yds/g) after Smith was lost for the season due to injury. The main receiving threats for the Warhawks are RJ Turner (2.4 rec/g, 46.8 yds/g, 3 TD), Xavier Brown (2.4 rec/g, 44.7 yds/g, 4 TD), Marcus Green (3.4 rec/g, 32.7 yds/g, 4 TD), and Ajalen Holley (2.9 rec/g, 24.0 yds/g, TD). Ben Luckett (12.3 att/g, 46.8 yds/g, 5 TD), Duke Carter IV (9.38 att/g, 31.6 yds/g, TD), and Thomas Koufie (3.7 att/g, 19.6 yds/g, 4 TD) lead the way for the Warhawks backfield. Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 41.6 ppg on 495.7 total yards per game (226.7 passing, 269.0 rushing). Louisiana-Monroe has committed 18 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -7.
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The Georgia State Panthers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-7 (1-4 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 31-16, this past Saturday. Georgia State was able to tie up the game at 10 all midway through the 3rd quarter however, allowed Arkansas State to score the next 14-points which put the game out of reach for the Panthers. Georgia State outgained Arkansas State by a 331-305 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Panthers was WR Robert Davis who had 87 yards on 9 receptions. On the season, Georgia State is averaging 19.3 ppg on 310.4 total yards per game (216.6 passing, 93.9 rushing). Offensively, the Panthers have been led by QB Conner Manning who has completed 54.3% of his passes for 9 TD and 9 INT while averaging 239.7 passing yds/game. Manning’s main targets this season has been Robert Davis (5.4 rec/g, 74.0 yds/g, 3 TD), Todd Boyd (3.7 rec/g, 39.1 yds/g, TD), Ari Werts (1.6 rec/g, 25.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Keith Rucker (3.0 rec/g, 25.3 yds/g, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Panthers backfield has been Kyler Neal (7.0 att/g, 34.1 yds/g, 2 TD) and Aaron Winchester (12.0 att/g, 49.3 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Georgia State is holding their opponents to an average of 24.6 ppg on 384.6 total yards per game (181.6 passing, 203.0 rushing). Georgia State has committed 17 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -1.
The Warhawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Panthers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Louisiana-Monroe picked up a solid victory over South Alabama however, continue to struggle on the defensive end as they rank 123rd in scoring defense and 118th in total defense. Georgia State has really struggled on the offensive end as they rank just 124th in scoring offense however, their defense has been very solid this season as they rank 42nd in scoring defense and 47th in total defense. Louisiana-Monroe has lost by an average of 35.6 points on the road this season and although it’s tough to count on the Panthers offense, I think Georgia State will be able to do enough on the offensive end at home to cover this spread. Take Georgia State to cover.