Hawaii vs. Boise State - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Boise State Broncos (8-1) at Hawaii Warriors (4-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Aloha Stadium)
The Line: Hawaii Warriors +16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The 24th ranked Boise State Broncos will travel to Aloha Stadium to take on the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors this Saturday night in College Football action.
The 24th ranked Boise State Broncos improved to 8-1 (4-1 MW) on the season after they were able to hold off the San Jose State Spartans, 45-31, this past Saturday. Boise St struggled slowing down the San Jose State offense, however, was able to pull away from the Spartans after an early 4th quarter TD made the score 38-16. Boise State outgained San Jose State by a 517-495 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Broncos was RB Jeremy McNichols who had 2 TD and 158 rushing yards on 28 carries. On the season, Boise State is averaging 34.8 ppg on 486.1 total yards per game (310.1 passing, 176.0 rushing). Offensively, the Broncos are led by RB Jeremy McNichols who has 16 rushing TD’s on the season and is averaging 135.11 rushing yds/game. McNichols is also a threat in the passing game out of the backfield as he has 4 receiving TD’s and averages 44.3 yds/game on 3.1 rec/game. QB Brett Rypien has completed 63.6% of his passes for 18 TD and 6 INT while averaging 286.4 passing yds/game. WR Thomas Sperbeck (6.3 rec/g, 101.0 yds/game, 7 TD) and Cedrick Wilson (4.1 rec/g, 76.2 yds/g, 8 TD) have been the biggest threats at the receiver position for Boise State. Defensively, Boise State is holding their opponents to an average of 22.7 ppg on 392.4 total yards per game (234.6 passing, 157.9 rushing). Boise State has only forced 5 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -8.
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The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-6 (3-3 MW) on the season after being defeated by the San Diego State Aztecs, 55-0, this past Saturday. Hawai’i had no answers on either side of the ball against the Aztecs as Hawai’i was outgained by San Diego State by a 393-215 margin. Hawai’i committed 4 turnovers in the loss and was only able to gain 48 rushing yards in the entire game. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was WR John Ursua who had 7 receptions for 41 yards. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 26.8 ppg on 386.4 total yards per game (222.7 passing, 163.7 rushing). Offensively, Hawai’i has been led by their rushing attack which consists of Diocemy Saint Juste (13.3 att/g, 76.8 yds/g, 2 TD), Steven Lakalaka (8.8 att/g, 38.0 yds/g, 10 TD) and Paul Harris (5.5 att/g, 35.9 yds/g, 2 TD). QB Dru Brown has completed 61.5% of his passes for 9 TD and 6 INT while averaging 172.3 passing yds/game. Marcus Kemp (5.5 rec/g, 91.0 yds/g, 6 TD), John Ursua (3.8 rec/g, 45.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Dylan Collie (2.4 rec/g, 20.6 yds/g, TD) have been the main threats at the receiver position for the Rainbow Warriors. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 38.2 ppg on 453.6 total yards per game (194.4 passing, 259.2 rushing). Hawai’i has committed 21 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -8.
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games however, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Rainbow Warriors are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Boise State continues to pick up wins however, the Broncos haven’t been able to dominate as much as expected as their defense has struggled as of late allowing their last 3 opponents (BYU, Wyoming, and SJSU) to average 29.3 ppg. Hawai’i got steamrolled by SDSU and will continue to have trouble picking up wins if they their defense, which ranks 119th in scoring defense and 107th in total defense, doesn’t find a way to improve. Boise State should be able to put up plenty of points in this one and although I do expect Hawaii to be able to score a TD or two in this one, I think the Broncos will be able to pull away and cover this large spread. Take Boise State to cover.