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Houston vs. Tulane - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tulane Green Wave (3-6) at Houston Cougars (7-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 3:30 pm (TDECU Stadium)

The Line: Houston Cougars -22 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS Sports Network

The Tulane Green Wave will travel to TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars this Saturday afternoon in College Football.

The Tulane Green Wave lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 3-6 (0-5 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the UCF Knights, 37-6, this past Saturday. Tulane was able to jump out to a quick 6-0 lead however, couldn’t find the scoreboard again and allowed Knights to pull away after they took a 20-6 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. Tulane outgained UCF by a 348-297 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 5-2 margin. Leading the way for the Tulane was RB Dontrell Hillard who had 84 yards and a TD on 18 carries. On the season, Tulane is averaging 25.9 ppg on 354.8 total yards per game (103.2 passing, 251.6 rushing). Offensively, the Green Wave is led by their rushing attack which ranks 15th in the country. Tulane’s running game is led by RB Dontrell Hilliard (13.6 att/g, 80.4 yds/g, 9 TD), RB Josh Rounds (10.1 att/g, 63.4 yds/g, 5 TD), RB Lazedrick Thompson (6.4 att/g, 39.6 yds/g, 4 TD), and QB Glen Cuiellette (10.9 att/g, 21.7 yds/g, TD). QB Glen Cuiellette has completed 40.2% of his passes for 8 TD and 7 INT while averaging 98.3 passing yds/game. Terren Encalade (3.1 rec/g, 44.1 yds/g, 6 TD) and Darnell Mooney (1.6 rec/g, 19.0 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Green Wave. Defensively, Tulane is allowing their opponents to average 28.7 ppg on 360.7 total yards per game (197.9 passing, 162.8 rushing). Tulane has forced 21 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +7.

Houston vs. Tulane - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Cougars improved to 7-2 (4-2 AAC) on the season after defeating the UCF Knights, 31-24, on October 29th.  Houston scored 28 unanswered points in the 2nd half to overcome a 21-3 deficit at halftime and get the important conference victory. Houston outgained UCF by a 398-195 margin and was able to overcome 4 turnovers. Leading the way for Houston was QB Greg Ward Jr. who completed 26 of 37 passes for 240 yards, TD, and 3 INT while also rushing for 2 TD’s. On the season, Houston is averaging 38.4 ppg on 470.8 total yards per game (290.8 passing, 180.0 rushing). Offensively, the Cougars are led by QB Greg Ward Jr. who has completed 69.4% of his passes for 14 TD and 8 INT while averaging 302.4 passing yds/game. Greg Ward Jr. is also the 2nd leading rusher for Houston as averages 54.0 rushing yds/game and has 8 rushing TD’s on the year. Also in the backfield for the Cougars is Duke Catalon (16.8 att/g, 72.2 yds/g, 2 TD) and Dillon Birden (7.0 att/g, 33.3 yds/g, 6 TD). Linell Bonner (7.4 rec/g, 84.6 yds/g, 2 TD), Chance Allen (4.6 rec/g, 63.7 yds/g, 2 TD), Steven Dunbar (4.6 rec/g, 61.3 yds/g, 4 TD), and D’Eriq King (3.2 rec/g, 25.3 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Cougars. Defensively, Houston is allowing their opponents to average 21.7 ppg on 299.1 total yards per game (207.1 passing, 92.0 rushing). Houston has committed 17 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -3.

The Green Wave are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Tulane has struggled since the start of conference play and although they do have one of the better rushing offenses in the country, their passing game is basically non-existent which has allowed teams to load the box to stop the run. Houston was looking like they could possibility make the CFF Playoffs earlier this season but ever since their loss at Navy, the Cougars have looked real beatable as they barely survived games against Tulsa and UCF and had an embarrassing loss on the road against SMU. It’s hard to take Houston covering this many points with the way they’ve been playing, however, as the strength of their defense is against the run and for the fact that I think coach Herman will have Houston ready to finish the season strong coming off their bye week, I’m taking Houston to cover this large spread at home. Take Houston to cover. 

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Houston Cougars -22

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