Utah State vs. New Mexico - 11/12/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Mexico Lobos (6-3) at Utah State Aggies (3-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Romney Stadium)
The Line: Utah State Aggies -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The New Mexico Lobos will travel to Romney Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies this Saturday night in College Football action.
The New Mexico Lobos won their 4th straight game and improved to 6-3 (4-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Nevada Wolfpack, 35-26, this past Saturday. New Mexico was able to hold off a late 4th quarter charge by Nevada and secured the victory after a 4-yard TD run by QB Austin Apodaca put New Mexico up by a 35-26 margin with just 2:54 left to play. New Mexico outgained Nevada by a 473-409 margin and gained 373 yards on the ground. Leading the way for the Lobos was RB Teriyon Gipson who had 121 rushing yards on 20 carries. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 38.1 ppg on 464.9 total yards per game (106.1 passing, 358.8 rushing). Offensively, New Mexico is led by their rushing attack which at 358.8 yds/game is ranked 1st in all of College Football. Leading the rushing attack has been Teriyon Gipson (12.1 att/g, 116.7 yds/g, 8 TD), Tyrone Owens (12.4 att/g, 98.9 yds/g, 6 TD), QB Lamar Jordan (9.0 att/g, 54.1 yds/g, 2 TD), RB Richard McQuarley (10.0 att/g, 44.6 yds/g, 12 TD), and QB Austin Apodaca (3.86 att/g, 23.9 yds/g, 2 TD). Austin Apodaca (59.7 Comp %, 4 TD, 2 INT, 70.6 yds/g) and Lamar Jordan (50.9 Comp %, 4 TD, 4 INT, 50.9 yds/g) have split the QB duties for New Mexico. Patrick Reed (1.1 rec/g, 21.1 yds/g, TD), Q’Drennan (0.9 rec/g, 17.4 yds/g, 2 TD), and Matt Quarells (1.1 rec/g, 16.2 yds/g, TD) have been the biggest threats at the WR position for the Lobos. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 31.6 ppg on 372.4 total yards per game (233.0 passing, 139.4 rushing). New Mexico has committing 13 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -3.
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The Utah State Aggies lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 3-6 (1-5 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys, 52-28, this past Saturday. Utah State scored 21points in a 2:41 span in the 3rd quarter to fight back from a 35-7 halftime deficit, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. Utah State was outgained by Wyoming by a 528-414 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for Utah State was QB Damion Hobbs who completed 7 of 16 passes for 68 yards and INT while adding 3 rushing TD’s. On the season, Utah State is averaging 24.3 ppg on 378.4 total yards per game (220.1 passing, 158.3 rushing).Offensively, Utah State has been led by QB Kent Myers who has completed 57.5% of his passes for 9 TD and 5 INT while averaging 211.2 passing yards/game. RB Tonny Lindsey (11.9 att/g, 58.0 yds/g, 3 TD), QB Kent Myers (9.89 att/g, 33.2 yds/g, 4 TD), Devante Mays (6.2 att/g, 43.2 yds/g, 3 TD), and QB Damion Hobbs (2.3 att/g, 9.1 yds/g, 5 TD) have been the main weapons out of the backfield for the Aggies. Leading the way at the receiver positions for Utah State has been WR Ron’Quavion Tarver (4.0 rec/g , 50.6 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Rayshad Lewis (4.0 rec/g, 49.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and TE Wyatt Houston (3.4 rec/g, 31.3 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 29.1 ppg on 378.3 total yards per game (220.1 passing, 158.3 rushing). Utah State has only forced 7 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover ratio of -3. QB Kent Myers and RB Devante Mays are questionable for Saturday’s game.
Lobos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November however, just 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
New Mexico is known for their rushing game however, their defense has played better as of late as over their last 3 games, the Lobos are allowing opponents to average just 21.3 ppg. Utah State continues to have trouble stopping the football as in conference play this season, the Aggies are allowing their opponents to average 31.8 ppg. This line has yet to be posted with two of the major offensive weapons for the Aggies (Kent Myers & Devante Mays) being listed as questionable however, even if Myers and Mays play, I just don’t see Aggies defense being able to slow down the Lobos rushing attack. Please check back when the line is posted but unless the number is more than 10 for Utah State, I’m leaning with New Mexico.