Ball State at Toledo - 11/16/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ball State at Toledo - 11/16/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Ball State Cardinals (4-6) at Toledo Rockets (8-2)

College Football: Wednesday, November 16, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Glass Bowl)

The Line: Toledo Rockets -20.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Ball State Cardinals and Toledo Rockets meet Wednesday night in a MAC college football game at the Glass Bowl on ESPN2.

The Ball State Cardinals are desperate for a road victory after losing five of their last six games overall. The Ball State Cardinals have to win their final two games in order to become bowl eligible. Riley Neal is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Neal has one or less touchdown passes in four of his last five games. KeVonn Mabon and Damon Hazelton Jr. have combined for 1,182 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Corey Lacanaria has 26 receptions. The Ball State Cardinals ground game is averaging 226 yards per contest, and James Gilbert leads the way with 1,196 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 30.3 points and 469.7 yards per game. Sean Wiggins leads the Ball State Cardinals with 87 tackles, Anthony Winbush has six sacks and Marc Walton has three interceptions.

The Toledo Rockets look for their third straight victory to remain in the MAC West division race. The Toledo Rockets have have won eight of their last 11 home games. Logan Woodside is completing 70.8 percent of his passes for 3,328 yards, 37 touchdowns and six interceptions. Woodside has three or more touchdown passes in 10 straight games. Cody Thompson and Jon'Vea Johnson have combined for 1,721 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Corey Jones has 53 receptions. The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 200.2 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 1,048 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 22.9 points and 390.1 yards per game. DeJuan Rogers leads the Toledo Rockets with 61 tackles, Treyvon Hester has five sacks and Connery Swift has two interceptions.

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The Cardinals are 50-22 ATS in their last 72 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Rockets are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Toledo and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall.

This is a lot of points to give up consdering the last four games between Ball State and Toledo have been decided by 14 or less points. Yes, Toledo is the better team and it is senior night which is going to mean a ton to a team full of seniors. However, let's not act like Ball State is horrible. The Ball State Cardinals have had five of their six losses decided by 10 or less points. Ball State competes. Given the history between these teams and the fact the Ball State Cardinals are being overlooked with this line, I'm siding with the road team and the truckload of points.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Ball State Cardinals +20.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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