Cincinnati vs. Memphis - 11/18/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Memphis Tigers (6-4) at Cincinnati Bearcats (4-6)
College Football: Friday, November 18, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats +7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Memphis Tigers will travel to Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats this Friday Night in College Football action.
The Memphis Tigers dropped to 6-4 (3-3 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the South Florida Bulls, 49-42, this past Saturday. In an exciting back and forth game Memphis couldn’t fight back after letting South Florida take the late lead on a 22-yard TD run by Quinton Flowers with just 1:46 left to play. Memphis was outgained by South Florida by a 679-608 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Memphis was QB Riley Ferguson who completed 29 of 46 passes for 331 yards, 3 TD, and an INT. On the season, Memphis is averaging 39.2 ppg on 465.1 total yards per game (297.1 passing, 168.0 rushing). Offensively, the Tigers have been led by QB Riley Ferguson who has completed 63.4% of his passes for 24 TD and 9 INT while averaging 289.6 passing yds/game. Memphis has a talented receiver group led by Anthony Miller (6.7 rec/g, 107.7 yds/g, 8 TD), Phil Mayhue (3.0 rec/g, 44.5 yds/g, 2 TD), Daniel Montiel (2.4 rec/g, 28.9 yds/g, 3 TD), and Daniel Hurd (1.6 rec/g, 19.8 yds/g, 2 TD). The Memphis backfield is led by Doroland Dorceus (9.9 att/g, 63.5 yds/g, 6 TD), Patrick Taylor Jr. (6.6 att/g, 43.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Darrell Henderson (6.8 att/g, 42.8 yds/g, 4 TD). Defensively, Memphis is allowing their opponents to average 27.3 ppg on 444.4 total yards per game (227.9 passing, 216.5 rushing).
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The Cincinnati Bearcats lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 4-6 (1-5 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the UCF Knights, 24-3, this past Saturday. Cincinnati once again struggled on the offensive end and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 10-3 margin at halftime. Cincinnati outgained UCF by a 327-305 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bearcats was WR Kahlil Lewis who had 6 receptions for 84 yards. On the season, Cincinnati is averaging just 18.8 ppg on 371.1 total yards per game (252.7 passing, 118.4 rushing). Offensively, Cincinnati has been led by Hayden Moore who had completed 56.0% of his passes 7 TD and 5 INT while averaging 245.8 passing yds/game. The Bearcats backfield has been led by Tion Green (13.3 att/g, 63.5 yds/g, 2 TD) and Mike Boone (11.7 att/g, 43.1 yds/g, 2 TD). Devin Gray (4.9 rec/g, 68.4 yds/g, 3 TD), Kahlil Lewis (4.4 rec/g, ,57.4 yds/g, 5 TD), and Nate Cole (4.6 rec/g, 46.4 yds/g, 4 TD) are the leading receivers for Cincinnati. Defensively, Cincinnati is holding their opponents to an average of 24.9 ppg on 413.2 total yards per game (233.5 passing, 179.7 rushing).
The Tigers are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record however, just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Memphis has lost 3 of their last 4 games as they continue to struggle against the better teams in the AAC despite their dangerous passing game. Cincinnati comes into this game with the 122nd ranked scoring offense and although they are once again starting Hayden Moore, which I feel is their best option for offensive production, have averaged just 6.3 ppg during their 3-game losing streak. Memphis should be able to score some points with their solid passing attack and as there is no way you can depend on Cincinnati scoring the football, I think the play here is to take Memphis to cover.