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BYU vs. Massachusetts - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8) at BYU Cougars (6-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 2:00 pm (LaVell Edwards Stadium)

The Line: BYU Cougars -30 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The UMass Minutemen will travel to Lavell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The UMass Minutemen dropped to 2-8 on the season after being defeated by the Troy Trojans, 52-31, on November 5th. UMass hung around with the Trojans early but allowed Troy to pull away in the 2nd half after they took a 28-17 lead at halftime. UMass was outgained by the Troy by a 485-360 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for UMass was QB Andrew Ford who completed 23 of 44 passes for 316 passing yards, 3 TD, and an INT. On the season, UMass is averaging 23.1 ppg on 348.7 total yards per game (245.0 passing, 103.7 rushing). Offensively, UMass is led by QB Andrew Ford who had completed 59.6% of his passes for 22 TD and 12 INT while averaging 226.1 passing yds/g. Ford’s main targets this season have been Adam Breneman (5.8 rec/g, 69.9 yds/g, 7 TD), Andy Isabella (4.9 rec/g, 61.0 yds/g, 6 TD), and Jalen Williams (1.6 rec/g, 37.4 yds/g, 5 TD). Leading the UMass backfield has been Marquis young who had 3 TD on the season and is averaging 74.1 yds/g on 16.9 att/g. Defensively, UMass is allowing their opponents to average 32.9 ppg on 452.2 total yards per game (262.0 passing, 190.2 rushing).

BYU vs. Massachusetts - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The BYU Cougars won their 2nd straight game and improved to 6-4 on the season after defeating the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 37-7, this past Saturday. BYU had little trouble with the Thunderbirds and cruised to victory after taking a 31-7 halftime lead. BYU outgained Southern Utah by a 596-165 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for BYU was Taysom Hill who completed 22 of 29 passes for 320 yards, 2 TD, and an INT while adding TD and 29 yards on the ground. On the season, BYU is averaging 28.1 ppg on 409.0 total yards per game (218.7 passing, 190.3 rushing). Offensively, BYU has been led by Taysom Hill who has completed 60.4% of his passes from 11 TD and 9 INT while averaging 205.7 passing yds/g. Hill also averages 47.2 rushing yds/g and has 7 rushing TD’s on the season. Leading the BYU backfield is Jamaal Williams who had 10 TD’s on the season while averaging 129.3 yds/g on 23.8 att/g. Nick Kurtz (3.9 rec/g, 41.2 yds/g, 2 TD), Colby Pearson (3.2 rec/g, 31.9 yds/g, 3 TD), Jonah Trinnaman (2.7 rec/g, 31.6 yds/g, TD), and Mitchell Juergens (3.0 rec/g, 29.9 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for BYU. Defensively, BYU is holding their opponents to an average of 21.4 ppg on 384.4 total yards per game (268.0 passing, 116.4 rushing).

The Minutemen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games however, just 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Cougars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

UMass is not a very good football team but the Minutemen have played better as of late and has been able to generate some offense as UMass is averaging 30.3 ppg over their past 4 games. BYU has been one of the most competitive football teams in the country this season and although they have four losses, the Cougars lost those four games by a combined 8 points. BYU should have no trouble picking up the win here but UMass was able to be competitive against a very good Troy team and I think the Minutemen will be able to do just enough cover with this huge line. Take UMass and the points. 

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