Nevada vs. Utah State - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Utah State Aggies (3-7) at Nevada Wolf Pack (3-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 4:00 pm (Mackay Stadium)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack +5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Utah State Aggies will travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolfpack this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Utah State Aggies lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-7 (1-6 MW) on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, 24-21, this past Saturday. Utah State got out to a quick 14-0 lead however, allowed New Mexico to score 17 unanswered points in the 3rd and 4th quarters to help the Lobos secure the comeback victory. Utah State was outgained by New Mexico by a 403-301 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Utah State was QB Kent Myers who completed 21 of 27 passes for 263 yards, 1 TD, and an INT. On the season, Utah State is averaging 24.0 ppg on 379.7 total yards per game (224.4 passing, 155.3 rushing). Offensively, Utah State is led by QB Kent Myers who has completed 59.2% of his passes for 10 TD and 6 INT while averaging 216.4 passing yds/g. Ron’Quavion Tarver (4.2 rec/g, 53.9 yds/g, 3 TD), Rayshad Lewis (3.7 rec/g, 45.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Wyatt Houston (3.2 rec/g, 29.2 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers from the Aggies. Leading the Utah State backfield has been RB Tonny Lindsey (11.9 att/g, 54.8 yds/g, 5 TD), QB Kent Myers (9.3 att/g, 31.7 yds/g, 4 TD), and Devante Mays (6.2 att/g, 43.2 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 28.6 ppg on 386.2 total yards per game (188.5 passing, 197.7 rushing).
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The Nevada Wolfpack lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 3-7 (1-5 MW) on the season after being defeated by the San Diego State Aztecs, 46-16, this past Saturday. Nevada had no answers for the SDSU rushing attack and couldn’t fight back after being down 26-7 at halftime. Nevada was outgained by SDSU by a 620-366 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Wolfpack was QB Ty Gangi who completed 21 of 37 passes for 276 yards, 2 TD, and 3 INT. On the season, Nevada is averaging 22.2 ppg on 373.4 total yards per game (217.8 passing, 155.6 rushing). Offensively, Nevada has been led by RB James Butler who had 8 TD’s on the season and is averaging 102.1 yds/g on 20.2 att/g. QB Ty Gangi has completed 67 of 115 passes for 877 yards, 6 TD and 6 INT since taking over for QB Tyler Stewart (63.2 Comp %, 9 TD, 3 INT, 145.1 yds/g) who was lost for the season due to injury. Wyatt Demps (4.7 rec/g, 61.7 yds/g, 8 TD), James Butler (2.8 rec/g, 28.1 yds/g, 2 TD) and Jerico Richardson (2.4 rec/g, 26.4 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Wolfpack. Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 30.1 ppg on 464.6 total yards per game (165.3 passing, 299.3 rushing).
The Aggies are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Wolfpack are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Both Utah State and Nevada have struggled this season as both teams haven’t been able to find ways to score the ball as Utah State ranks 97th in scoring offense while Nevada ranks 114th. Nevada comes into this game with the worst ranked rushing defense in College Football and although Ty Gangi has been able to move the ball a bit for the Wolfpack, I think the Aggies are the better team here and will win this one by a TD. Take Utah State to cover.