New Mexico State Aggies vs. Texas State Bobcats - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas State Bobcats (2-7) at New Mexico State Aggies (2-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 4:00 pm (Aggie Memorial Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico State Aggies -9.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 See the Latest Odds
A pair of 2-7 Sun Belt conference teams will try to snap a lengthy losing streak when then Texas State Bobcats head to Las Cruces to take on the New Mexico State Aggies.
The Texas State Bobcats lost their 5th straight game, this time to the Idaho Vandals by a final score of 47-14 to remain winless in conference play with an 0-5 mark. The sad thing is that Texas State actually led twice at 7-0 and 14-7 early in the first quarter before Idaho shut the door and scored 40 unanswered points the rest of the way. Tyler Jones completed 12 of his 16 pass attempts for 175 yards and a touchdown. Stedman Mayberry led a lacklustre Bobcats ground attack with 29 yards and a touchdown on his 9 carries. The Bobcats would've had 40 yards as a team, however the aforementioned Jones finished with -23 rushing yards on his 8 carries bringing the Texas State total to 17 yards on 24 carries on the day. Mayberry seemed to do it all for the Bobcats, after leading the team in receiving as well, with a team-high 6 receptions for 78 yards while Thurman Morbley made the most out of his lone reception in the game, which he turned into 48 yards and a touchdown.
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The New Mexico State Aggies lost their 4th straight game, falling to the conference-leading Arkansas State Red Wolves by a final score of 41-22 to drop to 1-4 in conference play. The Aggies fell behind quickly and before they knew it, they were down 28-6 at halftime, a deficit the Aggies would not recover from. Tyler Rogers completed 26 of his 45 pass attempts for 256 yards and a touchdown that was negated by an interception that the Arkansas State defense returned for a pick-six. Larry Rose III put up a team high 168 yards and a touchdown on his 25 carries on the night. OJ Clark led the Aggies receiving crew with 9 catches for 70 yards while Izaiah Lottie followed closely behind with 6 catches for 51 yards.
Texas State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall while the over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 road games. New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the over is 35-14-2 in their last 51 games overall.
I'm not sure why anybody would want to pick this game, as there are many more appealing games on the board. However, I do like New Mexico State's offense more than I do Texas State's plus the Aggies are at home so that helps.
I'm not in love with the pick but it forced to choose I'll side with the Aggies at home.