UCF vs. Tulsa - 11/19/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-3) at UCF Knights (6-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 19, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: UCF Knights -1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN News
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will travel to Bright House Networks Stadium to take on the UCF Knights this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had their 3-game winning streak snapped a dripped to 7-3 (4-2 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Navy Midshipman, 42-40, this past Saturday. In a high scoring affair, Tulsa was able to get within 2-points after a 22-yard TD pass to Chris Minter, however, the Golden Hurricane couldn’t get a defensive ball back as the Navy was able to run out the clock over the final 5:30 of the game. Tulsa outgained Navy by a 576-501 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Tulsa was QB Dane Evans who completed 16 of 27 passes for 369 passing yards, 4 TD, and an INT while also adding a rushing TD. On the season, Tulsa is averaging 42.2 ppg on 517.5 total yards per game (269.8 passing, 247.7 rushing). Offensively, Tulsa has been led by the rushing duo of James Flanders (18.3 att/g, 116.9 yds/g, 14 TD) and D’Angelo Brewer (22.3 att/g, 118.2 yds/g, 5 TD). QB Dane Evans has completed 58.1% of his passes for 22 TD and 9 INT while averaging 261.3 passing yds/g. Keevan Lucas (6.2 rec/g, 92.0 yds/g, 10 TD), Josh Atkinson (5.9 rec/g, 81.6 yds/g, 6 TD), and Justin Hobbs (4.1 rec/g, 60.3 yds/g, 3 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Golden Hurricane. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing their opponents to average 32.1 ppg on 433.4 total yards per game (234.7 passing, 198.7 rushing).
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The UCF Knights won their 2nd straight game and improved to 6-4 (4-2 AAC) on the season after defeating the Cincinnati Bearcats, 24-3, this past Saturday. UCF was excellent on the defensive end throughout the game and was able to pull away in the 2nd half after taking a 10-3 halftime lead. UCF was outgained by Cincinnati by a 327-305 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Knights was RB Jawon Hamilton who had 81 rushing yards and a TD on 17 carries. On the season, UCF is averaging 31.0 ppg on 361.9 total yards per game (194.4 passing, 167.5 rushing). Offensively, the Knights have been led by McKenzie Milton who has completed 59.3% of his passes for 9 TD and 5 INT while averaging 192.9 passing yds/g. Milton also has rushed for 3 TD’s on the season. Leading the way for the UCF backfield has been Dontravious Wilson (11.2 att/g, 42.6 yds/g, 8 TD) and Jawon Hamilton (10.4 att/g, 41.5 yds/g, 3 TD). Tre’Quan Smith (4.2 rec/g, 55.4 yds/g, 3 TD) and Jordan Akins (1.5 rec/g, 27.8 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Knights. Defensively, UCF is holding their opponents to an average of 20.6 ppg on 360.3 total yards per game (212.7 passing, 147.6 rushing).
The Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Tulsa couldn’t pull off what would have been a huge road conference win against Navy, however, once again showed how dangerous their offensive can be though both the passing and rushing games. UCF has had the biggest turnaround in College Football as with their win over Cincinnati the Knights became bowl eligible this season after going winless last season. UCF has been a great story this season however, I just don’t see their defense being able to stop both Dane Evans and James Flanders and that Tulsa does enough to cover this small road spread.