Alabama vs. Auburn - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Auburn Tigers (8-3) at Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -20 -- Over/Under:
The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Auburn Tigers face off on Saturday in Tuscaloosa for the 2016 version of The Iron Bowl in SEC college football action.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-0, ranked number one in the country, and have clinched the SEC West and a spot in the SEC Championship Game against Florida. The Alabama offense is averaging 40.3 points and 477.6 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 17 times. Crimson Tide QB Jalen Hurts has completed 64.8 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and 7 interceptions and he has rushed for 803 yards and 11 touchdowns. Damien Harris is Alabama’s top rusher with 850 yards and 2 touchdowns and Calvin Ridley is the top receiver with 57 catches and 7 touchdowns and ArDarius Stewart has 39 catches and 7 touchdowns. The Alabama defense has been off the charts allowing 11.4 points and 252.6 yards per game with 10 interceptions, 10 fumble recoveries, and 40 sacks. Reuben Foster leads the Crimson Tide with 75 tackles, Ronnie Harrison has 60 tackles, and Tim Williams has 8 sacks. Alabama is looking like a force and they look to have a shot a being Nick Saban’s second undefeated National Champions.
The Auburn Tigers are 8-3 this season and regardless of what happens in this game they have had a nice turnaround season. Auburn lost 2 of their first 3 gams to start the season but have won 7 of their last 8 since then. The Auburn offense is averaging 34.1 points and 473.5 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 12 times. Tigers QB Sean White has completed 65.2 percent of his passes with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and he has rushed for 2 touchdowns. Kamryn Pettway leads Auburn in rushing with 1106 yards and 7 touchdowns and Kerryon Johnson has 823 yards and 11 touchdowns and Tony Stevens has 29 catches and 3 touchdowns. The Auburn defense is allowing 14.3 points and 334.5 yards per game and they have 9 interceptions, 6 fumble recoveries, and 25 sacks. Tray Mathews is Auburn’s leading tackler with 67, Johnathan Ford has 57 tackles, and Joshua Holsey has 3 interceptions. Auburn will have their hands full in this one and if it wasn’t for an upset loss two weeks ago at Georgia this game would be for a spot in the SEC Championship.
Alabama is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 SEC games, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 home games. Auburn is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games, and 4-0 against the spread on the road against a team with a winning home record. The favorite has covered the point spread in four of the last 5 meetings of these two teams.
This point spread in gigantic and way too big to lay in a rivalry game of this magnitude. Look for a hard fought close game between players who know one another very well.