Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats (6-5) at Louisville Cardinals (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Papa John's Cardinal Stadium)
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -26 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Down at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium on Saturday, November 26, the Kentucky Wildcats and the Louisville Cardinals will be facing off in college football action.
Kentucky enters play here with a 6-5 record on the year, and just finished up with Austin Peay 49-13 this past weekend. In that win, Wildcats QB Stephen Johnson helped his team become bowl-eligible on 5-of-9 passing for 101 yards and two scores, and Benny Snell Jr. took 14 carries for 152 yards and two touchdowns.
USA TODAY Sports
On the year so far, Johnson has 1524 yards with a 9:4 TD:INT mark, and Stanley Williams is Kentucky’s top rusher with 146 carries for 1072 yards and six TDs. Jeff Badget is tops for the Wildcats in receiving on 24 catches for 587 yards and four scores.
AS for Louisville, they’re coming into this game with a 9-2 record on the season. The Cardinals got a shock in their last outing this past Thursday, losing 36-10 to Houston. In that one, Louisville didn’t have much offense going, with QB Lamar Jackson going 20-of-43 for 211 yards and one touchdown.
So far this season, Jackson has 3109 passing yards with 28 touchdowns, and also leads the Cardinals in rushing on 209 yards and 1367 yards and 19 touchdowns. James Quick is the top Louisville receiver with 38 catches for 621 yards and six TDs.
Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Kentucky is also 10-22 ATS in their last 32 road games, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
Meanwhile, Louisville is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine versus the SEC. Louisville is also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight-up loss, and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
The formula for a Louisville win here is pretty simple: stop the Kentucky ground game. With Williams and Snell contained, there’s not a lot else the Wildcats can do. On the other side, the Cardinals need to find that offensive magic that made them such a hit earlier in the season. I think Louisville will do that, and I’ll take them to cover.