San Diego State vs. Colorado State - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado State Rams (6-5) at San Diego State Aztecs (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Qualcomm Stadium)
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Colorado State Rams will travel to Qualcomm Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Colorado State Rams improved to 6-5 on the season after defeating the New Mexico Lobos, 49-31, this past Saturday. Colorado State was outstanding on the offensive end against the Lobos and had the game in hand after taking a 49-17 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. Colorado State outgained New Mexico by a 576-366 margin and did a nice job against the Lobos rushing attack which leads the nation in yds/g. Leading the way for the Rams was QB Nick Stevens who completed 9 of 10 passes for 164 yards and 4 combined TD’s (2 passing, 2 rushing). On the season, Colorado State is averaging 31.5 ppg on 445.9 total yards per game (229.1 passing, 216.8 rushing). Offensviely, Colorado State has been led by their solid backfield that consists of Dalyn Dawkins (13.0 att/g, 69.8 yds/g, 3 TD), Izzy Matthews (11.7 att/g, 54.6 yds/g, 10 TD), Marvin Kinsey, Jr. (7.2 att/g, 44.1 yds/g, 6 TD). QB Nick Stevens has completed 65.3% of his passes for 10 TD and 3 INT while averaging 160.1 passing yds/g and has played great since regaining his starting QB job after Collin Hill went down for the season due to injury. Michael Gallup (5.7 rec/g, 93.2 yds/g, 8 TD), Olabisi Johnson (1.9 rec/g, 31.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Robert Ruiz (1.6 rec/g, 25.0 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Rams. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 406.5 total yards per game (191.7 passing, 214.8 rushing).
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The San Diego State Aztecs had their 6-game winning streak snapped and dropped 9-2 (6-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys, 34-33, this past Saturday. In one of the most exciting games of the weekend, the Aztecs caught a Hail Mary pass in the closing seconds to put the Aztecs down by 1-point however, the Aztecs went for the win and came up short on the 2-point conversion. San Diego State was outgained by Wyoming by a 487-389 margin. Leading the way for the Aztecs was QB Christian Chapman who completed 15 of 26 passes for 211 passing yards and 2 TD. On the season, San Diego State is averaging 36.5 ppg on 431.3 total yards per game (147.9 passing, 283.4 rushing). Offensively, San Diego State is led by the nation’s leading rusher in Donnel Pumphrey who has 14 TD’s on the season and is averaging 168.6 yds/g on 26.1 att/g. San Diego State has a great backfield as along with Pumphrey, Rashaad Penny is averaging 78.4 yds/g and has 9 TD’s on the season. QB Christian Chapman has completed 61.5% of his passes for 17 TD and 4 INT while averaging 145.3 passing yds/g. Mikah Holder (2.1 rec/g, 42.6 yds/g, 4 TD), David Wells (1.6 rec/g, 19.3 yds/g, 3 TD), and Rashaad Penny (1.0 rec/g, 18.3 yds/g, 3 TD) have been the leading receives for the Aztecs. Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 16.9 ppg on 301.1 total yards per game (203.9 passing, 97.2 rushing).
The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Colorado State has been playing much better as of late and behind the solid play of Nick Stevens, Colorado State became bowl eligible with their win last weekend against New Mexico. San Diego State’s defense had a hard time slowing down the Wyoming offense on the road, however, with the MW-West all sealed up, San Diego State will face either Wyoming or Boise State in the MW Championship no matter the outcome of this game. Colorado State has been playing their best football of the season as of late, however, I think San Diego State’s defense which ranks 9th in the country in total defense, will get back on track in this matchup and that Donnel Pumphrey and Rashaad Penny put up enough points on the Rams defense to get San Diego State to cover. Take the Aztecs to cover.