USF vs. UCF - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCF Knights (6-5) at USF Bulls (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 2:33 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
The Line: USF Bulls -8 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The UCF Knights will travel to Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The UCF Knights had their two-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 6-5 (4-3 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 35-20, this past Saturday. UCF played Tulsa tough in the 1st half and went into halftime tied at 14-all, however, allowed the Golden Hurricane to put the game out of reach after scoring 21 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter. UCF was outgained by Tulsa by a 474-321 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for UCF with QB McKenzie Milton who completed 25 of 51 passes for 233 passing yards while also adding 37 rushing yards on the ground. On the season, UCF is averaging 30.0 ppg on 358.2 total yards per game (197.9 passing, 160.3 rushing). Offensively, UCF is led by QB McKenzie Milton who has completed 57.3% of his passes for 9 TD and 5 INT while averaging 197.9 passing yds/g. Leading the Knights backfield has been Dontravious Wilson (10.8 att/g, 41.7 yds/g, 8 TD), Jawon Hamilton (10.5 att/g, 38.8 yds/g, 3 TD), Adrian Killins (3.7 att/g, 30.2 yds/g, 4 TD), and McKenzie Milton (10.6 att/g, 20.1 yds/g 3 TD). The Knights main receiving targets have been Tre’Quan Smith (4.3 rec/g, 56.8 yds/g, 3 TD), Jordan Akins (1.5 rec/g, 26.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Taylor Oldham (2.4 rec/g, 26.1 yds/g). Defensively, UCF is holding their opponents to an average of 21.9 ppg on 370.6 total yards per game (204.8 passing, 165.8 rushing).
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The South Florida Bulls won their 3rd straight game and improved to 9-2 (6-1 AAC) on the season after defeating the SMU Mustangs, 35-27, this past Saturday. In a close back and forth game, South Florida was able to hold off the Mustangs after they took a 35-24 lead early in the 4th quarter. South Florida was outgained SMU by a 578-473 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Bulls was QB Quinton Flowers who completed 7 of 15 passes for 195 yards, 3 TD’s and an INT while also rushing for 142 yards on 16 carries. On the season, South Florida is averaging 43.2 ppg on 516.2 total yards per game (229.8 passing. 286.4 rushing). Offensively, the Bulls have been led by duel-threat QB, Quinton Flowers, who has been responsible for 35 TD’s this season (22 passing, 13 rushing). Flowers is completing 61.2% of his passes for an average of 218.1 passing yds/g and is also the leading rusher for South Florida at 115.7 rushing yds/g. Also in the backfield for the Bulls is Marlon Mack (14.1 att/g, 98.2 yds/g, 13 TD) and D’Ernest Johnson (8.6 att/g, 44.3 yds/g, 7 TD). Rodney Adams (4.6 rec/g, 61.5 yds/g, 5 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (1.8 rec/g, 35.3 yds/g, 5 TD), and Tre McCants (1.9 rec/g, 32.6 yds/g, 4 TD) are the leading receivers for the Bulls. Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 31.0 ppg on 489.4 total yards per game (271.3 passing, 218.1 rushing).
The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
UCF has been outstanding on the defensive end this season and although they couldn’t get it done at home against a very good Tulsa team, first year head coach Scott Frost must be thrilled that he has his Knights eligible for a Bowl game after the Knights went winless last season. South Florida has one of the most dynamic players in football in Quinton Flowers and comes into this matchup with 7th ranked scoring offense in College Football. UCF has had a great season however, as South Florida needs a win to keep their AAC Championship hopes alive (USF needs a win and a Temple loss), I think the Bulls come out strong in this one and do enough to cover this single digit spread at home. Take South Florida to cover.