Navy vs. Temple - 12/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Temple Owls (9-3) at Navy Midshipmen (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 3, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Navy Midshipmen -3.0 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC; ESPN 3
The Temple Owls will travel to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the 25th ranked Navy Midshipmen this Saturday afternoon in the AAC Championship.
The Temple Owls won their 6th straight game and improved to 9-3 (7-1 AAC East) on the season after defeating the East Carolina Pirates, 37-10, this past Saturday. With their win over the Pirates, Temple was able to secure the AAC East Division as they held the tie-breaker of the South Florida Bulls from their 46-30 victory against the Bulls earlier in the season. Temple dominated East Carolina as they outgained the Pirates by a 414-226 margin and held one of the better passing attacks in College Football to just 183 passing yards. Leading the way for the Owls was RB Jahad Thomas who had 152 rushing yards and 2 TD’s on 24 carries. On the season, Temple is averaging 32.8 ppg on 418.8 total yards (227.4 passing, 191.4 rushing). Offensively, Temple has been led by the backfield duo of Jahad Thomas (18.1 Att/g, 85.6 yds/g, 12 TD) and Ryquell Armstead (12.6 Att/g, 76.6 yds/g, 13 TD). QB Phillip Walker has completed 57.9% of his passes for 18 TD and 12 INT while averaging 225.0 passing yds/g. Ventell Bryant (4.2 rec/g, 77.4 yds/g, 3 TD), Keith Kirkwood (2.6 rec/g, 39.1 yds/g, 3 TD), and Jahad Thomas (3.0 rec/g, 40.2 yds/g, 6 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Owls. Defensively, Temple is holding their opponents to an average of 17.8 ppg on 273.5 total yards per game (145.8 passing, 127.8 rushing).
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The 25th ranked Navy Midshipmen won their 4th straight game and improved to 9-2 (7-1 AAC West) on the season after their 75-31 victory over the SMU Mustangs. Navy already had the AAC West clinched going into their game against SMU however, that certainly didn’t slow down the Navy offensive as they outgained SMU by a 600-427 margin while raking up an incredible 496 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Midshipmen was QB Will Worth who completed 5 of 7 passes for 104 yards and a TD while also adding 107 rushing yards and 3 TD’s on 15 carries. On the season, Navy is averaging 41.7 ppg on 470.0 total yards (128.0 passing, 342.0 rushing). Offensively, Navy is led by their rushing offense that ranks 2nd in College Football. Leading the Midshipmen rushing attack has been QB Will Worth (23.5 Att/g, 107.4 yds/g, 25 TD), Chris High (8.9 Att/g, 59.1 yds/g, 5 TD), Dishan Romine (4.0 Att/g, 37.5 yds/g, TD), Toneo Gulley (3.7 Att/g, 37.2 yds/g, 4 TD), and Shawn White (5.9 Att/g, 36.1 yds/g, 7 TD). QB Will Worth has completed 61.7% of his passes for 8 TD and 3 INT while averaging 123.9 passing yds/g. Jamir Tillman (2.9 rec/g, 48.5 yds/g, 2 TD) and Darryl Bonner (0.9 rec/g, 22.1 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Midshipmen. Defensively, Navy is allowing their opponents to average 30.1 ppg on 440.0 total yards per game (264.9 passing, 175.1 rushing).
The Owls are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 24-8 ATS in their last 32 conference games. The Midshipmen are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Temple is an experienced team that has a solid offense that can beat you both through the air and on the ground and is led by their defense that is ranked 10th in scoring defense and 24th in rushing defense. Navy has one of the most explosive rushing attacks in the country which has been unstoppable as of late as during Navy’s 4-game winning streak, the Midshipmen have been averaging 52.8 ppg. This game is going to come down to whether the Owl’s defense can slow down Navy’s offense and as I feel that the Owls will be up for the challenge and keep Navy’s offensive points in the low 30’s, I feel that Temple will be able to generate enough offense against a weak Midshipmen defense to at least cover with the points. I’m taking Temple and the points in this one.