TCU vs. Kansas State - 12/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats (7-4) at TCU Horned Frogs (6-5)
College Football: Saturday, December 3, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas State Wildcats and TCU Horned Frogs square off Saturday afternoon in a Big 12 college football game at Amon G. Carter Stadium on FS1.
The Kansas State Wildcats look for their eighth victory of the season to improve on their bowl positioning. The Kansas State Wildcats have lost six of their last nine road games. Jesse Ertz is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,401 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Ertz has one or less touchdown pass in his last eight games. Dominique Heath and Byron Pringle have combined for 811 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Deante Burton has 26 receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 223.5 yards per contest, and Ertz leads the way with 775 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 23.3 points and 391.5 yards per game. Elijah Lee leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 90 tackles, Jordan Willis has 10.5 sacks and D.J. Reed has three interceptions.
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The TCU Horned Frogs look for their seventh victory of the season to improve their bowl positioning. The TCU Horned Frogs have lost their last three home games. Kenny Hill is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 3,010 yards, 15 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Hill has one or less touchdown pass in six straight games. Taj Williams and John Diarse have combined for 1,108 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Kyle Hicks has 40 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 201.6 yards per contest, and Hicks leads the way with 894 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 27.5 points and 421.8 yards per game. Travin Howard leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 119 tackles, Josh Carraway has eight sacks and Nick Orr has four interceptions.
The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 games overall and the over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games overall.
I hate turning down free points with a Bill Snyder coached team, but I'm not sure Kansas State has the offensive firepower to keep up with the TCU Horned Frogs. TCU has struggled all year with teams capable of matching up offensively, but that's not the case here. Not to mention it is senior day for the Horned Frogs, so you have that extra motivation. I'm going to side with TCU at home and the reasonable line.