Colorado State vs. Idaho: Idaho Potato Bowl - 12/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Idaho Vandals (8-4) at Colorado State Rams (7-5)
College Football: Thursday, December 22, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Colorado State Rams -13 -- Over/Under: 64 See the Latest Odds
The Idaho Vandals and the Colorado State Rams will face off at Albertsons Stadium in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl on ESPN.
The Idaho Vandals finished the season with an 8-4 record and will play in what could be their 4th and final bowl game as an FBS program as after next season, Idaho will be moving to the FCS. Idaho started the season off slow as their tough non-conference schedule had the Vandals at just a 2-3 record, however, the Vandals were outstanding in Sun-Belt play this season finishing with a 6-2 conference record which included winning their last 4 games. On the season, Idaho is averaging 28.3 ppg on 379.9 total yards per game (238.3 passing, 141.7 rushing). Offensively, Idaho was led by QB Matt Linehan who completed 61.5% of his passes for 15 TD, 10 INT while averaging 233.6 passing yds/g. Leading the way for the Vandals backfield was Aaron Duckworth (11.5 Att/g, 51.3 yds/g, 4 TD), Isaiah Saunders (10.5 Att/g, 48.7 yds/g, 6 TD), and Denzal Brantley (4.36 Att/g, 20.6 yds/g, 3 TD). Wyoming does a great job spreading the ball around as they have 5 receivers that average at least 2.0 rec/g & 30.0 yds/g. Deon Watson (3.0 rec/g, 46.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Trent Cowan (3.8 rec/g, 44.3 yds/g, 6 TD), and Jordan Frysinger (2.6 rec/g, 44.0 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Cowboys. Defensively, Idaho is holding their opponents to an average of 17.0 ppg on 305.0total yards per game (195.0 passing, 110.0 rushing). Idaho forced their opponents to commit 25 turnovers on the season and had an overall turnover margin of +8.
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The Colorado State Rams finished the season with a 7-5 record but come into this matchup as one of the hottest football teams in the country winning 4 of their last 5 games. Colorado State struggled out of the gate this season posting a 3-4 record over their first 7 games, however, once QB Nick Stevens got a 2nd chance behind center, the Rams finally got their offense rolling as Colorado State averaged 47.4 ppg over their last 5 games. On the season, Colorado State averaged 34.1 ppg on 451.0 total yards per game (228.0 passing, 223.0 rushing). Offensively, Colorado State has been led by QB Nick Stevens who completed 65.5% of his passes for 14 TD and 3 INT while averaging 165.7 passing yds/g. Stevens main targets on the season have been Michael Gallup (5.8 rec/g, 97.0 yds/g, 11 TD), Olabisi Johnson (1.8 rec/g, 29.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Robert Ruiz (1.7 rec/g, 26.3 yds/g, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Colorado State backfield has been Dalyn Dawkins (13.2 Att/g, 72.8 yds/g, 3 TD), Izzy Matthews (11.9 Att/g, 58.8 yds/g, 12 TD), and Marvin Kinsey Jr. (7.8 Att/g, 45.5 yds/g, 7 TD). Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 27.8 ppg on 404.1 total yards per game (191.0 passing, 213.1 rushing). Colorado committed just 12 turnovers on the season and finished the season with an overall turnover margin of +2.
The Vandals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Idaho has been a great story as coming into the season the Vandals had won just 9 games over the past 5 seasons however, unfortunately for the Vandals, they will face off against a Colorado State team that has been playing their best football of the season as of late. Idaho will have the home field advantage playing at Albertsons Field however, after watching the Rams offense pretty much score at will against the 19th ranked San Diego State defense, I’m taking Colorado State to continue their hot play and cover this double-digit spread. Take Colorado State to cover.