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Iowa vs. Florida: Outback Bowl - 1/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida Gators (8-4) at Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4)

College Football: Monday, January 2, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes +2 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds


The Florida Gators will play the Iowa Hawkeyes in the Outback Bowl on January 2nd in college football action.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are 8-4 (6-3) this season after beating Nebraska by a score of 40-10 in their last game. Iowa finished the season by winning their last 3 games and finished tied for 2nd in the Big Ten West standings. Iowa has wins over Nebraska, Illinois, Michigan, Purdue, Minnesota, Rutgers, Iowa State, and Miami (OH). The Iowa offense is averaging 26.8 points per game with 171.9 rushing yards and 161.33 passing yards per game. C.J. Beathard is completing 58.6% of his passes for 1874 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions for Iowa. LeShun Daniels has rushed for 1013 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Akrum Wadley has rushed for 966 yards and 10 scores for the Hawkeyes. Riley McCarron has caught 41 passes for 506 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jerminic Smith has added 23 catches for 314 yards and 2 touchdowns for Iowa. The Iowa defense is giving up 17.9 points per game with 153.2 rushing yards and 199.6 passing yards per game. Josey Jewell has led the Iowa defense with 114 tackles, 5 tackles for loss, and 0.5 sacks, while Bo Bower has added 88 tackles and 0.5 tackles for loss. Keith Duncan has gone 8-9 on field goals, with a long of 41 yards.

Iowa vs. Florida: Outback Bowl - 1/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Florida Gators are 8-4 (6-2) this season after losing to Alabama by a score of 54-16 in the SEC Championship Game. Florida has lost 2 games in a row, but was able to win a weak SEC East Division. Florida has wins against Massachusetts, Kentucky, North Texas, Vanderbilt, Missouri, Georgia, LSU, and South Carolina this season. The Florida offense is averaging 23.4 points per game with 129.8 rushing yards and 215.2 passing yards per game. Austin Appleby is completing 61.4% of his passes for 1225 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions for Florida. Jordan Scarlett has rushed for 795 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Lamical Perine has ran for 402 yards and 1 score for the Gators. Antonio Callaway has caught 47 passes for 666 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Brandon Powell has added 43 catches for 372 yards and 2 touchdowns for the Gators. The Florida defense is giving up 17.9 points per game with 142.2 rushing yards and 156.3 passing yards per game. Marcell Harris has led the Florida defense with 64 tackles, 3 tackles for loss, 1 sack, and 2 interceptions, while Jarrad Davis has added 60 tackles, 6 tackles for loss, and 2 sacks. Eddy Pineiro has gone 18-22 on field goals, with a long of 54 yards.

Florida is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-1 in Florida’s last 7 games against the Big Ten. Iowa is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. The over is 6-0-1 in Iowa’s last 7 games on grass.

Florida had a successful season despite their issues at the quarterback position. Iowa started the season slow but finished strong and will be looking for their 9th win. Both of these defenses are very good and we should be in for a low scoring game. Florida has more speed than Iowa and I expect that to be the difference. 

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