Oregon State vs. Minnesota - 9/9/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-0) at Oregon State Beavers (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 9, 2017 at 10:00 pm (Reser Stadium)
The Line: Oregon State Beavers -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FS1; Fox Sports Go
The Minnesota Golden Gophers will travel to Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers had all they could handle from the Buffalo Bulls in their season opener, however, used a strong defensive effort to pull out a 17-7 victory. Minnesota scored two TD’s in the opening quarters to take a 14-7 lead, however, needed to rely on their defense the rest of the way as the offense didn’t point any more points on the board until a late FG in the 4th quarter. Minnesota outgained Buffalo by a 408-262 margin and held Buffalo to just 51 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Golden Gophers was WR Tyler Johnson who had 141 yards and TD on 6 receptions. Minnesota and 1st year head coach, P.J. Fleck, came into this season with many questions at the QB position and it currently looks like the Gophers will use both Conor Rhoda and Demry Croft for the time being. Minnesota, who ranked 63rd in scoring offense last season, did return running back Rodney Smith (18.5 att/g, 89.1 yds/g, 16 TD) and WR’s Tyler Johnson and Brian Smith. Minnesota had one of the better defenses in the country as they ranked T-21st in scoring offense and 14th in rushing defense, and although the Gophers only have 5 returning starters on the defensive end, the Gophers are projected to still have a very tough defense this season led by DT Steven Richardson and LB Jonathan Celestin.
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The Oregon State Beavers rebounded from their opening season lost to Oregon State to get their first victory of the year after defeating the FCS Portland State Vikings, 35-32, this past Saturday. Oregon State had all they could handle from Portland State and needed an Isaiah Hodgins TD with just 1:08 remaining in the game to avoid the upset. Oregon State was outgained by Portland State by a 515-389 margin while also losing the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Beavers was QB Jake Luton who completed 18 of 25 passes for 235 yards, 1 TD, and an INT. On the season, Oregon State is averaging 31.0 ppg on 422.5 total yards per game (269.5 passing yds/game; 153.0 rushing) yds/game). Offensively, the Beavers are led by RB Ryan Nall who had 2 TD’s on the season and averages 87.0 yds/g on 15.5 att/g. QB Jack Luton has completed 62.5% of his passes on the season for 3 TD and 4 INT while averaging 269.5 passing yds/game. Luton’s main receiving targets so far this season have been TE Noah Tojiai (6.0 rec/g, 81.0 yds/g, TD) and Jordan Villamin (3.5 rec/g, 38.5 yds/g). Defensively, Oregon State returned 8 starters from a team that ranked 82nd last year in scoring defense, however, the Beavers have struggled early in the season as they are currently allowing their opponents to average 45.0 ppg on 520.0 total yards per game (279.0 passing yds/g; 241.0 rushing yds/g).
The Golden Gophers are 6-0=3 ATS in their last 9 road games and 202- ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Both Minnesota and Oregon State had trouble securing victories over teams that we didn’t think would give them much trouble, however, I’m much more concerned with Oregon State’s current state of affairs as it currently looks like the Beavers defense is loss after giving up a combined 90 points against Colorado State and Portland State. Minnesota’s defense is rock solid and although their offensive certainly has some question marks, I think the Golden Gophers will be able to muster up enough points to win this one. Take Minnesota and the points.