California vs. Ole Miss - 9/16/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ole Miss Rebels (2-0) at California Golden Bears (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 16, 2017 at 10:30 pm (California Memorial Stadium)
The Line: California Golden Bears +3.5 -- Over/Under: 71 See the Latest Odds
The Ole Miss Rebels will travel to Memorial Stadium (Berkeley, CA) to take on the California Golden Bears this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Ole Miss Rebels improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks, 45-23, this past Saturday. The Rebels had a battle on their hand in the 1st half as Ole Miss led by just a 17-16 margin at halftime, however, was outstanding offensively in the 2nd half and pulled away after taking a 38-16 lead with 5:28 left in the 3rd quarter. Ole Miss outgained Tennessee-Martain by a margin of 543-334 and dominated the passing game after throwing for a total of 489 yards. Leading the way for the Rebels was QB Shea Patterson who completed 32 of 43 passes for 489 yards, 5 TDs, and 1 INT. On the season, Ole Miss is averaging 46.0 ppg on 537.0 total yards per game (459.0 passing yds/g; 78.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, the Rebels are led by a group of talented WR in A.J. Brown (8.0 rec/g, 194.5 yds/g, 4 TD), DaMarkus Lodge (5.5 rec/g, 92 yds/g, 3 TD) and D.K. Matcalf (6.5 rec/g, 60.5 yds/g, 1 TD). QB Shea Patterson has completed 76.9% of his passes on the season for 9 TD and 1 INT while averaging 459.0 passing yds/g. The Ole Miss backfield is led by Jordan Wilkins who averages 32.5 yds/g on 8.5 att/g to go along with 1 TD on the season. Defensively, Ole Miss us holding their opponents to an average of 25.0 ppg on 354 total yards per game (159.5 passing yds/g; 194.5 rushing yds/g). The Rebels have forced only 1 turnover in the young season and currently have turnover margin of -1.
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The California Golden Bears improved to 2-0 on the season after defeating Weber State, 33-20, this past Saturday. California got off to a slow start after being down 20-17 in the 3rd quarter, but scored 16 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to avoid the upset. The Golden Bears were outgained by Weber State by a margin of 571-431, but won the turnover battle by a 3-1 difference. Leading the way for Cal was RB Patrick Laird who had 191 yards and 3 TD’s on 12 carries. On the season, the Golden Bears are averaging 34.0 ppg on 450 total yards per game (281.5 passing yds/g; 168.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, California is led by QB Ross Bowers who has completed 66.7% of his passes for 4 TDs and 2 INT while averaging 281.5 yds/g. California’s main targets for Bowers have been Vic Wharton III (5.0 rec/g, 101.0 yds/g, TD), Demetris Robertson (3.5 rec/g, 35.0 yds/g), and Jordan Veasy (3.0 rec/g, 32.5 yds/g, TD). The Golden Bears backfield is led by Patrick Laird who has 3 TD’s on the season and is averaging 100.0 yds/g on 7.5 att/g. Defensively, the Golden Bears is allowing their opponents to an average of 25.0 ppg on 505.5 total yards per game (326.0 passing yds/g; 179.5 rushing yds/g). Cal has forced 6 turnovers so far this season and has a turnover margin of +3.
The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Golden Bears are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 home games however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record.
Both Ole Miss and California had tougher games than expected against FCS teams, however, both were able to survive and enter this game with a chance to start their season with a 3-0 record. Ole Miss has been slinging around the football early in the season as they come into this game ranked 1st in passing offense. California got a nice win on the road against UNC to start their season but has to be a bit concerned about their defense as so far early in the season, they rank 121st in total defense. California is a hard team to get a read on this season, however, as I think the Ole Miss passing attack will be able to field day against the Golden Bears secondary, I think the Rebels do enough to cover this road spread.