Michigan State vs. Notre Dame - 9/23/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Notre Dame - 9/23/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-1) at Michigan State Spartans (2-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans +3.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium on FOX.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish look for another road victory to build on their 2-1 start to the season. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have lost five of their last eight road games. Brandon Wimbush is completing 51.1 percent of his passes for 490 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Wimbush now has two touchdown passes on 99 career pass attempts. Alizé Mack and Equanimeous St. Brown have combined for 200 receiving yards and one touchdown while Josh Adams has eight receptions. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ground game is averaging 330.6 yards per contest, and Adams leads the way with 443 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing 18.7 points and 352 yards per game. Te'von Coney leads the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with 25 tackles, Jerry Tillery has one sack and Shaun Crawford has two interceptions. 

The Michigan State Spartans look to build on their 2-0 record and are coming off a bye week. The Michigan State Spartans have lost five of their last eight home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 411 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke now has six touchdown passes on 111 career pass attempts. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Felton Davis III have combined for 222 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Matt Sokol has four receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 255.5 yards per contest, and Lewerke leads the way with 150 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 12 points and 203.5 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 21 tackles, Chris Frey has 1.5 sacks and Tyson Smith has one interception.

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The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan State, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings.

A lot of times I like to guess the line before seeing it to get an idea where my thoughts are with the oddmakers. I was shocked to see Michigan State being an underdog here, and they were an even bigger underdog before the public started to bet the line down. Notre Dame has done nothing to deserve being a favorite on the road against a respectable team, especially after losing at home to Georgia. The Irish continue to stink up the joint in big games and it's getting to the point where people are questioning just how good of a coach Brian Kelly is after all. Michigan State had a brutal season last year where nothing went right, and the Spartans still went into South Bend and won. This year, MSU has that edge back defensively and the offense has shown signs of life. Not to mention a really good coach in Mark Dantonio has had an extra week to prepare. The wrong team is favored here, so I'll be playing the spread and the ML.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Michigan State Spartans +3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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