SMU vs. Arkansas State - 9/23/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU vs. Arkansas State - 9/23/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1) at SMU Mustangs (2-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs -4.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves would love a nice upset victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have won four of their last six road games. Justice Hansen is completing 70.7 percent of his passes for 751 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Hansen and Logan Bonner have combine for eight touchdown passes this season. Christian Booker and Chris Murray have combined for 275 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Kendrick Edwards has 11 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 109.5 yards per contest, and Warren Wand leads the way with 131 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 23 points and 371.5 yards per game. Kyle Wilson leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 14 tackles, Clifford Thomas has one sack and Blaise Taylor has one interception.  

The SMU Mustangs look to remain unbeaten at home and improve to 3-1 on the season overall. The SMU Mustangs have split their last eight home games. Ben Hicks is completing 48.4 percent of his passes for 729 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Hicks and Rafe Peavey have combined for nine touchdown passes this season. Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton have combined for 450 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while James Proche has seven receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 155.3 yards per contest, and Ke'Mon Freeman leads the way with 151 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 34 points and 443.7 yards per game. Mikial Onu leads the SMU Mustangs with 24 tackles, Kyran Mitchell has three sacks and Jordan Wyatt has one interception.

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The Red Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Mustangs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 games overall and the under is 6-1-1 in Red Wolves last 8 games overall.

This game is sure to be an offensive shootout, as both of these teams are capable of lighting up the scoreboard, but they've also had trouble at times getting off the field defensively. The over may be worth a look when a line is released. As for picking a winner, it's likely going to be the team that has the ball last. I'm going with SMU because they're at home and they have the better ground game, which allows them to control the pace and eat click when needed in the second half. However, I must say you're in for an emotional ride if you bet this game, as it's likely going to be a back and forth contest for 60 minutes. I still give SMU the edge. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick SMU Mustangs -4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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