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Iowa State vs. Texas - 9/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Longhorns (1-2) at Iowa State Cyclones (2-1)

College Football: Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Jack Trice Stadium)

The Line: Iowa State Cyclones +5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Texas Longhorns and Iowa State Cyclones meet Thursday in college football action at Jack Trice Stadium on ESPN.

The Texas Longhorns look for their first road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Texas Longhorns have lost nine of their last 11 road games. Sam Ehlinger is completing 53.7 percent of his passes for 520 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Ehlinger and Shane Buechele have combined for five touchdown passes this season. Collin Johnson and Armanti Foreman have combined for 512 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Reggie Hemphill-Mapps has 12 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 190.6 yards per contest, and Chris Warren III leads the way with 212 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 26 points and 373.7 yards per game. Malik Jefferson leads the Texas Longhorns with 27 tackles, Charles Omenihu has two sacks and Holton Hill has two interceptions.  

Iowa State vs. Texas - 9/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa State Cyclones look for a statement victory to build on their solid 2-1 start to the CFB season. The Iowa State Cyclones have lost five of their last seven home games. Jacob Park is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 935 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Park has two touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Hakeem Butler and Allen Lazard have combined for 412 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Trever Ryen has 13 receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 148.3 yards per contest, and David Montgomery leads the way with 321 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 27.3 points and 402 yards per game. Marcel Spears Jr. leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 27 tackles, Willie Harvey has 2.5 sacks and Kamari Cotton-Moya has one interception.

The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The home team has won the last three meetings between these two teams and four of the last five overall. Both clubs are coming off a bye week and have had close losses, as Texas nearly upset USC on the road and Iowa State lost a heartbreaker to Iowa in overtime. For me, Texas still has a ways to go, as it's 0-2 SU this season against Power five schools, struggles defensively and the offense is a bit predictable with a limited passing attack. There's still too many traits that remain with past Texas teams. Iowa State has been better than a lot of people expect, and it just went blow for blow with the Hawkeyes, a team that probably should have beaten Penn State last weekened. The Cyclones will head into this game confident and the crowd should be out. I like Iowa State and the points in a game it can win outright. 

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