Illinois vs. Nebraska - 9/29/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-2) at Illinois Fighting Illini (2-1)
College Football: Friday, September 29, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Memorial Stadium-Champaign)
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Friday in college football action at Memorial Stadium on FS1.
The Nebraska Cornhuskers look for their first road victory of the season to get a game above a .500 record. The Nebraska Cornhuskers have lost four straight road games. Tanner Lee is completing 52.1 percent of his passes for 898 yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions. Lee has thrown nine interceptions in his last three games. Stanley Morgan Jr. and De'Mornay Pierson-El have combined for 509 receiving yards and six touchdowns while JD Spielman has 12 receptions. The Nebraska Cornhuskers ground game is averaging 154 yards per contest, and Tre Bryant leads the way with 299 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Nebraska is allowing 29 points and 367.5 yards per game. Luke Gifford leads the Nebraska Cornhuskers with 28 tackles, Dedrick Young II has one sack and Tyrin Ferguson has one interception.
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The Illinois Fighting Illini look to remain unbeaten at home while building on their decent 2-1 start to the CFB season. The Illinois Fighting Illini have split their last six home games. Chayce Crouch is completing 51.6 percent of his passes for 328 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Crouch and Jeff George, Jr. have combined for two touchdown passes this season. Mike Dudek and Ricky Smalling have combined for 265 receiving yards and one touchdown while Malik Turner has 11 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 110.3 yards per contest, and Epstein leads the way with 221 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 25 points and 433 yards per game. Del'Shawn Phillips leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 32 tackles, Bobby Roundtree has three sacks and Tré Watson has one interception.
The Cornhuskers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
The home team has won the last four meetings between Nebraska and Illinois, with the Cornhuskers winning last years contest, 31-16. The problem that I have is that Nebraska has serious turnover issues, turning the ball over nine times and having a -0.50 turnover margin, which is one of the worst in the country. That doesn't fly when playing on the road. Those who have been around since opening week know that I've been hyping up the Illinois Fighting Illini a bit, and while it hasn't worked out yet, they did beat WKU as underdogs and hung around with USF until turnovers and penalties took over. Illinois is a decent football team that will get better as the youth starts to gain experience. I'm scared of the Cornhuskers and those miscues, so I'm going to take my free touchdown with the home team.