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East Carolina vs. USF - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USF Bulls (4-0) at East Carolina Pirates (1-3)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium)

The Line: East Carolina Pirates +24 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBSSN

The South Florida Bulls and East Carolina Pirates meet Saturday in college football action at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.

The South Florida Bulls look for another victory to start 5-0 for the first time since 2009. The South Florida Bulls have won seven of their last eight road games. Quinton Flowers is completing 52.5 percent of his passes for 774 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Flowers has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 12 games. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Tyre McCants have combined for 388 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Deangelo Antoine has six receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 289 yards per contest, and Darius Tice leads the way with 373 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, USF is allowing 17.3 points and 263.8 yards per game. Auggie Sanchez leads the South Florida Bulls with 22 tackles, Mike Love has three sacks and Devin Abraham has three interceptions. 

East Carolina vs. USF - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The East Carolina Pirates look for a nice upset victory in order to climb out of a 1-3 hole. The East Carolina Pirates have lost four straight home games. Thomas Sirk is completing 62 percent of his passes for 827 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Sirk has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. Davon Grayson and Trevon Brown have combined for 739 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Quay Johnson has 14 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 105.5 yards per contest, and Tyshon Dye leads the way with 124 yards on 31 carries. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 48 points and 624.8 yards per game. Jordan Williams leads the East Carolina Pirates with 43 tackles, Kiante Anderson has 2.5 sacks and Bobby Fulp has one interception.

The Bulls are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games. The Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games overall. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

The East Carolina Pirates are the worst defensive team in the country and have been blasted in three of their four games with their only victory being a three-point win over UConn. However, ECU has played South Florida tough in the past and the Bulls continue to have their struggles despite winning games. South Florida is averaging 10 penalties per game, Flowers hasn't been the most accurate quarterback this season and the Bulls sleepwalk throughout the first half of every game. Teams can hang around with this team, which makes it dangerous laying this many points, especially on the road. So, while the Pirates are downright brutal defensively, I'll take a shot with the points if forced to pick this game.

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