Florida vs. Vanderbilt - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Vanderbilt Commodores (3-1) at Florida Gators (2-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Florida Gators -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the #21 Florida Gators face off in SEC conference action from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville as part of week 5 college football action on Saturday afternoon.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season in their SEC opener, and what a loss it was, being on the wrong end of a 59-0 rout at the hands of top-ranked Alabama. Deuce Wallace and Kyle Shurmur combined for 7 of 22 passing for 38 yards and an interception. The Commodores also combined for 40 yards on 16 carries, led by Ralph Webb, who accounted for 20 yards on 6 carries. Trent Sherfield and Donavan Tennyson tied for the team lead with 2 catches for 14 yards each. Defensively, a Tre Herndon sack was the lone highlight in an otherwise atrocious outing for the Vandy defense, allowing a humongous 677 yards of total offense, including a whopping 496 yards on the ground.
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The #21 Florida Gators will look to build on their 2-1 start to their season, including a 28-27 come-from-behind win over Kentucky for their 31st consecutive win over the Wildcats to improve to 2-0 in SEC play. Feleipe Franks led the team with 85 yards on 7 for 12 passing with a touchdown, while Luke Del Rio completed 9 of 14 pass attempts for 74 yards and a touchdown that was cancelled out by an interception. Malik Davis led the Gators with 21 carries for 93 yards, while Kadarius Toney made the most of his pair of rushes, racking up 39 yards and a touchdown while also completing a single pass for 50 yards. Tyrie Cleveland put up 4 receptions for 110 yards and a touchdown, while Toney also hauled in 4 passes and Freddie Swain added a receiving TD of his own in the win. Defensively, the Gators combined for 4 sacks as a team, led by 1.5 sacks from Cece Jefferson as Florida held Kentucky to just 340 yards of total offense and a 1 for 10 mark on 3rd down in the victory.
Vanderbilt is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss while the under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 road games. Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Vanderbilt is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Florida.
Things can only go up for Vanderbilt from here after last week, and I’m sure the Commodores won’t put up stinkers in back-to-back games, but last week didn’t inspire much confidence that Vanderbilt could hang with the Gators. Even though they had their fair share of struggles against Kentucky, Florida was still able to pull off the comeback and should be able to ride that momentum to a double-digit victory in this one.