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Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-1) at Kentucky Wildcats (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Commonwealth Stadium)

The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC

The Eastern Michigan Eagles and the Kentucky Wildcats face off in week 5 college football action from Kroger Field in Lexington, KY.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles will look to rebound after suffering their first loss of the season, a 27-20 double overtime loss to Ohio, falling to 2-1 overall this season and 0-1 in MAC conference play. Brogan Roback threw for 271 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 28 of 47 pass attempts. Shaq Vann led a disappointing team effort from the Eagles on the ground, racking up 29 yards on 10 carries as Eastern Michigan combined for 46 yards on 26 carries as a team. Sergio Bailey II led the team with 7 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown, while Johnnie Niupalau and Antoine Porter each caught 4 passes in the loss. Defensively, Eastern Michigan combined for 4 sacks, including a pair from defensive lineman Luke Maclean as the Eagles allowed a balanced Ohio attack to rack up 373 yards of total offense, including 176 yards on the ground.

Kentucky vs. Eastern Michigan - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kentucky Wildcats will also look to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season, a heartbreaking 28-27 loss to #20 Florida, making it 31 consecutive straight up losses for the Wildcats against the Gators. The loss sent Kentucky to 3-1 overall this season and 0-1 in SEC conference play. Stephen Johnson threw for 196 yards and 3 touchdowns on 17 of 25 passing, while Sihiem King led Kentucky’s ground attack with 64 yards on 5 carries and Benny Snell Jr. racked up 59 yards on 14 touches out of the backfield. Juice Johnson led Kentucky with 4 catches for 56 yards and a TD, while C.J. Conrad and Blake Bone each added a touchdown grab and Charles Walker chipped in 4 catches of his own. Defensively, a Josh Allen sack and a Darius West interception were the main highlights in a decent performance from Kentucky’s defense, allowing 395 yards of total offense, with the time of possession battle ending up 5 seconds away from being dead even.

Eastern Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the SEC and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the under is 12-2 in their last 14 games overall. Kentucky is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against the MAC while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.

Eastern Michigan has played well out of conference but Kentucky will easily be the most balanced team they’ve played, as I don’t personally think too highly of Rutgers and Charlotte, and the SEC has been the Eagles’ kryptonite against the spread. Kentucky has to be heartbroken after falling just short of snapping that lengthy losing skid against the Gators, and they haven’t done well against the number, but they’ve dominated against the MAC, and since I think this will be a big bounce back game for the Wildcats, I’ll go ahead and back Kentucky here

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