Louisville vs. Murray State - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Murray State Racers (1-3) at Louisville Cardinals (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Papa John's Cardinal Stadium)
The Line: Louisville Cardinals TBA -- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
Down at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium on Saturday, the Murray State Racers and the Louisville Cardinals will be facing off in college football action.
Murray State enters this game with a 1-3 record so far, winning big (67-7) over Kentucky Wesleyan in the opener, then falling in succession to Central Arkansas (41-13), Missouri State (28-21) and Austin Peay (27-7).
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This past Saturday in the Austin Peay game, Murray State posted just 88 yards of offense on the day. Corey Newble went 18-of-29 for 50 yards, one TD and one interception, and also led the Racers in rushing with 13 carries and 44 yards. DJ Penick was the top Murray State receiver with eight catches for 22 yards and the TD.
Over on the Louisville side, they’re currently 3-1 following wins over Purdue and North Carolina, then a loss 47-21 to Clemson and a 42-3 drubbing of Kent State. In that Kent State game, Louisville QB Lamar Jackson posted an 18-of-22 line for 299 yards, two scores and two picks while Malik Williams led the way on the ground with 47 yards and two TDs on nine carries. Seth Dawkins was the top Cardinals receiver with four catches for 75 yards and a TD.
On the season so far, Jackson has 1387 yards, 10 touchdowns and three picks, also leading the Cardinals in rushing with 337 yards and four scores on 65 carries. Louisville’s lead receiver this year is Jaylen Smith, who has 22 catches for 379 yards and two touchdowns.
The Racers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games on fieldturf. Murray State is also 0-5 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Meanwhile, Louisville is 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The Cardinals are also 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
If you throw out that Clemson game, Louisville has been pretty dominant on offense. In the other three games, the Cardinals have accounted for 126 points, but really only blew out lowly Kent State. In all sane likelihood, this should be another blowout game, and I honestly can’t think of too many reasons why the Racers would be able to cover. I’ll take Louisville, as long as the line isn't flat-out ridiculous.