Mississippi State at Auburn - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) at Auburn Tigers (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 6:00 pm (Jordan-Hare Stadium)
The Line: Auburn Tigers -9 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium on ESPN.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for their second road victory to build on their solid 3-1 record. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have lost five of their last eight road games. Nick Fitzgerald is completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 626 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Fitzgerald has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 10 games. Keith Mixon and Deddrick Thomas have combined for 239 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Donald Gray has 12 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 267.5 yards per contest, and Aeris Williams leads the way with 360 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 14.8 points and 255.5 yards per game. Dezmond Harris leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 29 tackles, Jeffery Simmons has 2.5 sacks and Mark McLaurin has one interception.
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The Auburn Tigers look to remain unbeaten at home to build on their 3-1 start to the CFB season. The Auburn Tigers have won seven straight home games. Jarrett Stidham is completing 70.6 percent of his passes for 846 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Stidham has a combined one touchdown pass in his last three games. Will Hastings and Ryan Davis have combined for 354 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Kyle Davis has five receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 199.5 yards per contest, and Kam Martin leads the way with 210 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 11.3 points and 236.3 yards per game. Tre' Williams leads the Auburn Tigers with 25 tackles, Jeff Holland has 2.5 sacks and Daniel Thomas has one interception.
The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in September and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
I'm not sure Mississippi State is for real. Sure, the Bulldogs beat up LSU, but they absolutely crapped the bed last week on the road against Georgia and now have to take another trip to Auburn. Last year, Auburn beat Miss State by 24 points on the road and this years Tigers are better than they were a year ago. Auburn has beat up the lesser comp this season like its supposed to and its only loss was a eight-point contest against argubly the best team in the country the Clemson Tigers. Auburn's defense can make life tough for Fitzgerald and the offense found a spark last week when rushing for five touchdowns on the road against Missouri. I'm not drinking the Miss State kool aid like others, so I'm going to back the Auburn Tigers by double digits.