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NC State vs. Syracuse - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Syracuse Orange (2-2) at NC State Wolfpack (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 12:20 pm (Carter-Finley Stadium)

The Line: NC State Wolfpack -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ACCN

Down in North Carolina on Saturday, the Syracuse Orange and the NC State Wolfpack will be meeting up in Week 5 ACC college football action. 

Syracuse is sitting at 2-2 so far this year following wins over Central Connecticut State and Central Michigan along with losses to Middle Tennessee and LSU. In that Louisiana State game, Syracuse QB Eric Dungey posted a 32-of-53 line for 265 yards, a TD and a pick. Steve Ishmael was the favorite Orange target with 11 catches for 123 yards and a score. 

NC State vs. Syracuse - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

On the year, Dungey has 1052 yards, six scores and three picks, while also leading Syracuse in rushing on 52 attempts for 233 yards and five scores. Ishmael is the lead Syracuse receiver with his 45 catches for 512 yards and a TD. 

Over on the NC State side, they’re currently 1-3 following an opener loss to South Carolina and three straight wins against Marshall, Furman and Florida State. In that Seminoles game, NC State QB Ryan Finley went 22-of-32 for 230 yards and two scores, while Nyheim Hines had 24 carries on 94 carries. Tops in receiving for the Wolfpack was Jakobi Meyers’ five catches for 112 yards and a TD. 

Through four games so far, Finley has 1217 yards and eight touchdowns, while Hines is tops for NC State in rushing on 296 yards and two scores on 63 carries. Jaylen Samuels is the lead Wolfpack receiver on 38 receptions for 284 yards and three scores. 

The Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The under is 8-1 in Syracuse’s last nine games following a straight-up loss, and is also 6-1 in the Orange’s last seven conference games. 

Meanwhile, the Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. NC State is also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. 

As a team, Syracuse is averaging 4.1 yards per carry, with most of the workload coming from Dungey. Receiving-wise, the Orange’s top two guys (Ishmael and Ervin Phillips) are far away from the pack; no one else has hit double-digit catches yet. NC State seems to be a little more balanced statistically, and it shows with five of their receivers with at least 10 catches. I like the Wolfpack to come out and play well here for a cover.

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