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Ole Miss at Alabama - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ole Miss Rebels (2-1) at Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 9:00 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)

The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -27 -- Over/Under: 59 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Ole Miss Rebels and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Saturday in college football action at Bryant-Denny Stadium on ESPN.

The Ole Miss Rebels look for a statement victory to build on their 2-1 start to the CFB season. The Ole Miss Rebels have lost six of their last nine road games. Shea Patterson is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 1,281 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in all six games of his career. A.J. Brown and DaMarkus Lodge have combined for 673 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while D.K. Metcalf has 16 receptions. The Ole Miss Rebels ground game is averaging 69.6 yards per contest, and Jordan Wilkins leads the way with 103 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing 25.7 points and 369 yards per game. DeMarquis Gates leads the Ole Miss Rebels with 25 tackles, A.J. Moore has one sack and C.J. Moore has two interceptions.  

Ole Miss at Alabama - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Alabama Crimson Tide look to start 5-0 for the second straight season. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven’t lost a home game since September of 2015. Jalen Hurts is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 550 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa have combined for seven touchdowns this season. Calvin Ridley and Jerry Jeudy have combined for 348 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Robert Foster has four receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 303.2 yards per contest, and Hurts leads the way with 360 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 10 points and 248 yards per game. Shaun Dion Hamilton leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 20 tackles, Raekwon Davis has one sack and Ronnie Harrison has two interceptions.

The Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 15-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Alabama, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Alabama.

It's no secret that Ole Miss has won two of the last three meetings against Alabama, and last years loss was only by five points. The Rebels are also the last team to beat the Crimson Tide at home. And while this Ole Miss team may not be as consistent or deep as those squads, the Rebels can still put points on the board and have a defense that can get off the field and is allowing teams to convert just 31.1 percent on third down attempts. Alabama has blown the doors off its last three games, but Ole Miss is better than Fresno State and those other creampuff teams. I'm not saying the Rebels will have a chance to win or Alabama won't win by double digits, but we're getting four free touchdowns with a team that can move the football and is decent enough defensively. I'll take my points here.

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