Oregon vs. California - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
California Golden Bears (3-1) at Oregon Ducks (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 10:30 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FS1; Fox Sports Go
The California Golden Bears will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the 24th ranked Oregon Ducks this Saturday night in College Football action.
The California Golden Bears dropped to 3-1 on the season after losing to the USC Trojans 30-20, this past Saturday. Cal was tied 13-13 with USC at halftime, but were unable to stop the Trojans in the 2nd half and allowed USC to pull away late in the game. The Golden Bears outgained the Trojans by a 416-356 margin however, were plagued by turnovers, losing the turnover battle by a 6-2 margin. Leading the way for California was QB Ross Bowers who completed 22-50 passes for 303 yards and 1 TD with 4 INT. On the season, the Golden Bears are averaging 28.8 ppg on 428.8 total yards per game (275.5 passing yds/g; 153.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, California is led by QB Ross Bowers who has completed 55.2% of his passes on the season for 6 TD and 8 INT while averaging passing 275.5 yds/g. Bower's has talented WR's in Vic Wharton III (5.3 rec/g, 86.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Kamawai Noa (4.3 rec/g, 61.8 yds/g), and Jordan Veasy (2.8 rec/g, 34.8 yds/g, 2 TD). The Golden Bears RB's are led by Patrick Laird (13.0 att/g, 90.0 yds/g, 4 TD) and Vic Enwere (11 att/g, 40.0 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, California is holding their opponents to an average of 24.0 ppg on 445.8 total yards per game (309.5 passing yds/g, 136.3 rushing yds/g). The Golden Bears have forced 11 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of 0.
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The Oregon Ducks dropped to 3-1 on the season after losing to the Arizona State Sun Devils 37-35, this past Saturday. Oregon scored the go-ahead TD with 6:41 left in the 4th quarter, but were unable to hold off Arizona State who hit the game winning field goal with 2:33 left in the game. The Ducks were outgained by a 489-401 margin and each team had 1 turnover during the game. Leading the way for Oregon was QB Justin Herbert who completed 19-35 passes for 281 yards and 3 TD. On the season, the Ducks are averaging 50.8 ppg on 557.0 total yards per game (313.0 passing yds/g; 244 rushing yds/g). Offensively, the Ducks are led by RB Royce Freeman who averages 135.3 rushing yds/g on 24.3 carries a game for 10 TD. QB Just Herbert has completed 66.9% of his passes on the season for 8 TD and 2 INT while averaging 294.5 passing yds/g. Herbert main targets at the receiver position are Charles Nelson (5.0 rec/g, 81.0 yds/g, TD), Dillon Mitchell (4.5 rec/g, 54.3 yds/g, 2 TD) and Johnny Johnson III (3.0 rec/g, 49.0 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Oregon is holding their opponents to an average of 26.5 ppg on 349.5 total yards per game (232.8 passing yds/g; 116.8 rushing yds/g). The Ducks have forced 9 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of +1.
The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Ducks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
California surprised most of the country after starting the season 3-0 with wins against UNC and Mississippi and although they couldn’t pull out a victory of the Trojans, the Golden Bears were very competitive and gave the Trojans more of a game than they expected. Oregon still comes into this game with the top-rated scoring offense and 7th ranked total offense in the country, however, will be looking to put together a better performance on the offense end after somewhat struggling against an Arizona State defense that has struggled to keep opponents of the scoreboard. California has played great this season, however, turnovers have been a major issue, and between the fact that I think the Oregon offense will get back on track and that the Ducks defense will give Ross Bowers some problems with pressure, I’m taking Oregon to cover this spread at home. Take Oregon to cover.