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Penn State vs. Indiana - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indiana Hoosiers (2-1) at Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: BTN

The Indiana Hoosiers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.

The Indiana Hoosiers look for a statement victory to put together a three-game winning streak for the first time since September of 2015. The Indiana Hoosiers have won five of their last eight road games. Richard Lagow is completing 58 percent of his passes for 564 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Lagow and Peyton Ramsey have combined for seven touchdown passes this season. Simmie Cobbs Jr. and Ian Thomas have combined for 391 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Donavan Hale has seven receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 136.6 yards per contest, and Morgan Ellison leads the way with 257 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 27.7 points and 428.3 yards per game. Tegray Scales leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 26 tackles, Robert McCray III has one sack and Rashard Fant has two pass deflections. 

Penn State vs. Indiana - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions look for their fourth home victory of the season to improve to 5-0 on the year. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won 10 straight home games. Trace McSorley is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,037 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. Saquon Barkley and DaeSean Hamilton have combined for 544 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Juwan Johnson has 14 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 214 yards per contest, and Barkley leads the way with 518 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 8.3 points and 273.5 yards per game. Marcus Allen leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 23 tackles, Shareef Miller has two sacks and Grant Haley has two interceptions.

The Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Nittany Lions are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 home games, 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Hoosiers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

It's going to be interesting to see how Penn State responds on a quick turnaround after that miracle victory over Iowa on the last play of a game. It can be tough to find that edge after such an emotional draining game. And while the Nittany Lions are still super talented and well coached, Indiana has been quietly producing wins, as the Hoosiers beat Virginia on the road, hung with Ohio State in their season opener and just blasted Georgia Southern last week. Indiana can play some football, and last years meeting was decided by just 14 points, and I'd say this years Hoosiers are better and more confident than they were last November. This pick isn't me backing off the Penn State bandwagon, it has more to do with the respect I have for this Indiana team that has shown it can play with teams that have more talent. I'll take my free touchdowns.

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