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SMU vs. UCONN - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCONN Huskies (1-2) at SMU Mustangs (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs -19.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNEWS

The UConn Huskies and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The UConn Huskies would love to snap back-to-back losses and get back to a .500 record. The UConn Huskies have lost seven straight road games. Bryant Shirreffs is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 757 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Shirreffs has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Arkeel Newsome and Hergy Mayala have combined for 438 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Mason Donaldson has six receptions. The UConn Huskies ground game is averaging 185.6 yards per contest, and Nate Hopkins leads the way with 196 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 33 points and 556.3 yards per game. Junior Joseph leads the UConn Huskies with 22 tackles, Cole Ormsby has two sacks and Tyler Coyle has one interception. 

SMU vs. UCONN - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The SMU Mustangs look for another home victory to build on their impressive 3-1 start to the CFB season. The SMU Mustangs have split their last eight home games. Ben Hicks is completing 48.8 percent of his passes for 995 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Hicks has two or more touchdown passes in seven straight games. Trey Quinn and James Proche have combined for 598 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Courtland Sutton has 13 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 195 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 296 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 30.8 points and 439.5 yards per game. Mikial Onu leads the SMU Mustangs with 34 tackles, Kyran Mitchell has three sacks and Jordan Wyatt has two interceptions.

The Huskies are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 games overall. The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games overall and the under is 19-9 in Huskies last 28 games overall.

UConn lost at home to East Carolina, lost by 20 points to Virginia and only beat Holy Cross by a touchdown. While there's more talent than that resume would indicate, the Huskies simply aren't getting the job done and are hard to trust at the moment. SMU isn't the best defensive team in the world, but the offensive firepower is there, and they should have little trouble moving the football in this game considering UConn has allowed a combined 79 points in its last two games. I'll take SMU by three touchdowns.

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