Stanford vs. Arizona State - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) at Stanford Cardinal (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Stanford Stadium)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Arizona State Sun Devils will travel to Stanford Stadium to take on the Stanford Cardinal this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Arizona State Sun Devils improved to 2-2 (1-0 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the Oregon Ducks 37-35, this past Saturday. Arizona State took a 17-7 lead late in the 1st quarter and although Oregon kept the game close, the Sun Devils were able to pull out a victory after a Brian Ruiz 41-yard FG put Arizona State up with 2:33 left in regulation. . The Sun Devils outgained the Ducks by a 489-401 margin and each team had 1 turnover. Leading the way for Arizona State was QB Manny Wilkins who completed 24-39 passes 347 yards and a TD. Wilkins also added 35 years on the ground with 2 TD’s. On the season, the Sun Devils are averaging 34.8 ppg on 431.3 total yards per game (323.0 passing yds/g; 108.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona State is led by QB Manny Wilkins who has completed 66.4% of his passes on the season for 8 TD while averaging 317.8 passing yds/g. Wilkins has talented WR's in N'Keal Harry (7.8 rec/g, 109.0 yds/g, 3 TD), Jalen Harvey (4.0 rec/g, 71.3 yds/g, TD), and Kyle Williams (4.5 rec/g, 57.3 yds/g, 2 TD). The Sun Devils backfield is led by Kalen Ballage (15.25 att/g, 56.5 yds/g, 4 TD) and Demario Richard (12.33 att/g, 37.67 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Arizona State is allowing their opponents to an average of 37.0 ppg on 479.3 total yards per game (323.8 passing yds/g; 155.5 rushing yds/g). The Sun Devils have forced 4 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +1.
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The Stanford Cardinal improved to 2-2 on the season after defeating the UCLA Bruins 58-34, this past Saturday. Stanford jumped out to a 23-13 halftime lead and continued to outpace UCLA in the 2nd half on the way to the victory. The Cardinal were outgained by the Bruins by a 595-593 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for Stanford was RB Bryce Love who carried the ball 30 times for 263 yards and 1 TD. On the season, the Cardinal are averaging 40.3 ppg on 451.3 total yards per game (192.3 passing yds/g; 259.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Stanford is led by RB Bryce Love who averages 196.75 rushing yards per game on 18.25 carries with 5 TD. QB Keller Chryst is completing 52.0% of his passes for 4 TD and 2 INT while averaging 127.3 yds/g. Chryst main targets at the receiver position are Trenton Irwin (3,3 rec/g, 36.5 yds/g, TD) and JJ Arcega-Whiteside (3.0 rec/g, 43.0 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Stanford is holding their opponents to an average of 25.8 ppg on 453.0 total yards per game (269.5 passing yds/g; 183.5 rushing yds/g). The Cardinal have forced 8 turnovers so far in the season and have a turnover margin of +4.
The Sun Devils are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September however, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Cardinal are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September and 41-19 ATS in their last 60 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Arizona State had their best game of the season against Oregon as although they gave up 35 points, holding the explosive Oregon offense to just 401 yards was a major accomplishment for a Sun Devils defense that is not known for being able to slow down anyone. Stanford got back on track against the Bruins and currently rank 25th in the country in scoring offense led by Bryce Love who now leads the country in rushing yds/game. I was impressed by the Sun Devils as I though Oregon was going to score 70 on them, however, I just don’t see the Sun Devils being able to put up another great performance on the road. I think Arizona State hangs around early in this one however, Stanford pulls away in the 2nd half, similarly to what they did to UCLA, and covers this home spread. Take Stanford to cover.