Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +10.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in college football action at Jones AT&T Stadium on FOX.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys look for their third road win of their season to rebound from an embarrassing loss to TCU. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have won 10 of their last 12 road games. Mason Rudolph is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,533 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Rudolph has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 10 games. James Washington and Marcell Ateman have combined for 855 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Jalen McCleskey has 16 receptions. The Oklahoma State Cowboys ground game is averaging 175 yards per contest, and Justice Hill leads the way with 352 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 24 points and 366 yards per game. Chad Whitener leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 22 tackles, Jordan Brailford has two sacks and Justin Phillips has two interceptions. 

The Texas Tech Red Raiders look for another win here to start 4-0 for the first time since 2013. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have won six of their last nine home games. Nic Shimonek is completing 73.6 percent of his passes for 1,248 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception. Shimonek has moved the chains 51 times through the air this season. Keke Coutee and Dylan Cantrell have combined for 675 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Derrick Willies has 12 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 149.6 yards per contest, and Justin Stockton leads the way with 196 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 26.3 points and 407.3 yards per game. Dakota Allen leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 27 tackles, Eli Howard has 1.5 sacks and Willie Sykes has one interception.

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The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Texas Tech, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

I was all over Oklahoma State last week due to the offense being possibly the most talented in the country and thinking the defense had improved from years past. Yeah, um, Oklahoma State needs an offense to lead the way or things get ugly quickly, and the Cowboys now have some serious offensive line issues. Texas Tech is coming off a really solid road victory over Houston in which it allowed just 110 rushing yards and held the Cougars to 6-18 on third down. We know the Red Raiders are an offensive team as well, but if the defense can step up, this is a scary team in the Big 12. Also, last years meeting was decided by just one point. So, while I still love Oklahoma State's explosiveness on the offensive side, I'm going to have points in my pocket for this contest. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Texas Tech Red Raiders +10.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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