Tulsa vs. Navy - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tulsa vs. Navy - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Navy Midshipmen (3-0) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3)

College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Chapman Stadium)

The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +3.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Navy Midshipmen and Tulsa Golden Hurricane meet Saturday in college football action at Chapman Stadium on ESPNU.

The Navy Midshipmen look for their second road victory to start 4-0 for the second time in three years. The Navy Midshipmen have won six of their last nine road games. Zach Abey is completing 36 percent of his passes for 295 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Abey has just 25 pass attempts under his belt this season. Tyler Carmona and Darryl Bonner have combined for 280 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Craig Scott has one reception. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 393 yards per contest, and Abey leads the way with 471 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 24 points and 342.3 yards per game. Sean Williams leads the Navy Midshipmen with 22 tackles, D.J. Palmore has 1.5 sacks and Micah Thomas has one interception. 

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane could use a feel good victory here after a rough 1-3 start to the CFB season. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have won eight of their last 10 home games. Chad President is completing 55.9 percent of his passes for 677 yards, one touchdown and one interception. President has zero touchdown passes in his last two games. Justin Hobbs and Keenen Johnson have combined for 525 receiving yards and one touchdown while Josh Stewart has seven receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 311.5 yards per contest, and D'Angelo Brewer leads the way with 578 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 42.8 points and 590.3 yards per game. Manny Bunch leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 30 tackles, Jeremy Smith has three sacks and Craig Suits has two interceptions.

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The Midshipmen are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. The Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

This line is really confusing to me, as Tulsa is one of the worst defensive teams in college football and just lost to New Mexico last week as double-digit home favorites. Only East Carolina is allowing more yards per game than the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Meanwhile, Navy continues to play clean football and is a running machine behind Abey, as the Midshipmen just ran for 569 yards on Cincinnati last week. This isn't the same Tulsa team from years past that can outscore any team it plays, as the defense is too brutal to help create that sepration. Not to mention it's tough for teams to prepare for the triple-option in just one week. Navy and the small line even on the road may be one of the best bets for Saturday's card. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Navy Midshipmen -3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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