UCF vs. Memphis - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Memphis Tigers (3-0) at UCF Knights (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: UCF Knights -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Memphis Tigers and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium on ESPN2.
The Memphis Tigers look for another victory to start 4-0 for the second time in three years. The Memphis Tigers have won seven of their last 11 road games. Riley Ferguson is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 783 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Ferguson has has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 10 games. Anthony Miller and Joey Magnifico have combined for 386 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Phil Mayhue has seven receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 219 yards per contest, and Darrell Henderson leads the way with 345 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 35 points and 483.7 yards per game. Austin Hall leads the Memphis Tigers with 24 tackles, O'Bryan Goodson has one sack and Tim Hart has one interception.
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The UCF Knights look for another victory to start 3-0 for the first time since 2013. The UCF Knights have split their last eight home games. McKenzie Milton is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 538 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Milton has one or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 12 games. Dredrick Snelson and Jordan Akins have combined for 209 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tre'Quan Smith has seven receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 199 yards per contest, and Milton leads the way with 98 yards on nine carries. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 13.5 points and 266 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 10 tackles, Jamiyus Pittman has two sacks and Tre Neal has one interception.
The Tigers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in September, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Central Florida, the home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Memphis continues to shine on the offensive end and has an experienced squad that's used to winning on the road. The confidence will be there for the Tigers entering the ball game. However, UCF has not only been explosive offensively, but the Knights are also a top-15 defensive team that's averaging seven tackles for loss and three turnovers per game. We can't say the same for the Memphis Tigers, a team that's ranked 117th in yards allowed per game. Also, this will be the Knights first home game in a month due to Hurricane Irma, so you can bet the crowd will be out in full force and there will be a certain type of energy in the building. Overall, the difference for me is defensively, so I'm going to lay the reasonable line with the home team.