UCLA vs. Colorado - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) at UCLA Bruins (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 10:30 pm (Rose Bowl)
The Line: UCLA Bruins -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Colorado Buffaloes will travel to the Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Colorado Buffaloes dropped for 3-1 on the season after losing to the 6th ranked Washington Huskies 37-10, this past Saturday. Colorado jumped out to an early 7-0 lead, but didn't have much fire power through the rest of the game and Colorado couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 24-10 margin at the end of the 3rd quarter. The Buffaloes were outgained by a 414-313 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for Colorado was RB Phillip Lindsay who carried the ball 19 times for 68 yards and 1 TD. On the season, the Buffaloes are averaging 26.3 ppg on 413.8 total yards per game (272.3 passing yds/g; 141.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado is led by Phillip Lindsay who had 4 TD’s on the season and is averaging 111.5 rushing yds/g on 22.5 att/g. QB Steven Montez has completed 70.3% of his passes on the season for 6 TD and 6 INT while averaging 257.3 passing yds/g. The Buffaloes have an outstanding WR group led by Shay Fields (6.0 rec/g, 73.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Devin Ross (4.5 rec/g, 68.0 yds/g, TD), and Bryce Bobo (5.8 rec/g, 57.5 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Colorado is holding their opponents to an average of 16.0 ppg on 341.8 total yards per game (199.5 passing yds/g, 142.3 rushing yds/g). The Buffaloes have forced 8 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of 0.
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The UCLA Bruins dropped to 2-2 on the season after losing to the Stanford Cardinal 58-34, this past Saturday. UCLA fell behind 23-13 at the half and couldn't stop a potent Stanford rushing attack in the 2nd half. The Bruins outgained the Cardinal by a 595-553 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for UCLA was QB Josh Rosen who completed 40-60 passes for 480 yards and 3 TD's with 2 INT. On the season, the Bruins are averaging 45.0 ppg with 571.8 total yards per game (451.8 passing yds/g; 120.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCLA is led by QB Josh Rosen who had completed 65.5% of his passes on the season for 16 TD and 4 INT while averaging 440.8 passing yds/g. Rosen has talented pass catchers in TE Caleb Wilson (8.0 rec/g, 106.3 yds/g, TD), WR Darren Andrews (8.0 rec/g, 114.3 yds/g, 7 TD), WR Jordan Lesley (6.3 rec/g, 106.7 yds/g, 3 TD), and WR Theo Howard (4.3 rec/g, 50.3 yds/g, 2 TD). The Bruins backfield is led by Soso Jambo (9.5 att/g, 73 yds/g, 2 TD) and Bolu Olorunfunmi (9.67 att/g, 46.67 yds/g, TD). Defensively, UCLA is allowing their opponents to an average of 43.3 ppg on 524.8 total yards per game (217.3 passing yds/g; 307.5 rushing yds/g). The Bruins have forced 5 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of –5.
The Buffaloes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The Bruins are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Although the scoreboard didn’t reflect by the end of the night, Colorado played Washington tougher than I expected early in the game and just couldn’t get anything going on the offensive end after their opening drive. UCLA and Josh Rosen come into this matchup with the top-ranked passing offense in College Football, however, the Bruins defense has really struggled this season as they currently rank 125th in scoring defense. Colorado has a decent passing defense that ranks 45th in the country and as I think their offense will be able to find the end zone against the UCLA defense, I think Colorado and the points are the play here. Take Colorado and the points.