UNLV vs. San Jose State - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (1-4) at UNLV Rebels (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 10:30 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)
The Line: UNLV Rebels -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The San Jose State Spartans will travel to Sam Boyd Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels this Saturday night in College Football action.
The San Jose State Spartans dropped to 1-4 (0-1 MW) on the season after losing to the Utah State Aggies 61-10, this past Saturday. San Jose State did not have an answer for Utah State's running attack and were down 55-7 late in the 3rd quarter. The Spartans were outgained by the Aggies by a 589-171 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 5-3 margin. Leading the way for San Jose State was QB Josh Love who completed 8-20 passes for 54 yards and 1 INT. On the season, the Spartans are averaging 16.4 ppg on 294.8 total yards per game (181.0 passing yds/g; 113.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, San Jose State is led by QB Josh Love who has completed 47.8% of his passes on the season for 3 TD and 4 INT while averaging passing 114.3 yds/g. The WR group is led by Bailey Gaither (4.2 rec/g, 62.8 yds/g, 4 TD) and JaQuan Blackwell (2.4 rec/g, 37.8 yds/g, TD). The Spartans backfield is led by Zamore Zigler (8.6 att/g, 44.0 yds/g, TD) and Malike Roberson (10 att/g, 30.0 yds/g). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to an average of 45.2 ppg on 498.8 total yards per game (219.8 passing yds/g; 279.0 rushing yds/g). The Spartans have forced 9 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of –8.
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The UNLV Rebels dropped to 1-2 (0-0 MW) on the season after losing to the 10th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes 54-21, this past Saturday. The UNLV defense could not stop the Ohio State offense as the Buckeyes jumped out to a 44-7 halftime lead and cruised to an easy victory. The Rebels were outgained by the Buckeyes by a 664-264 margin and threw for just 88 passing yards in the loss. Leading the way for UNLV was RB Lexington Thomas who carried the ball 12 times for 84 yards and 2 TD. On the season, the Rebels are averaging 35.0 ppg on 459.3 total yards per game (291.7 passing yds/g; 205.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UNLV is led by RB Lexington Thomas who had 7 TD’s on the season while averaging 141.7 rushing yds/g on 16.7 att/g. QB Armani Rodgers has completed 59.3% of his passes for 2 TD and 3 INT while averaging 167.0 passing yds/g. The Rebels WR's are led by Devonte Boyd (3.0 rec/g, 85.3 yds/g, 2 TD) and Kendal Keys (2.7 rec/g, 23.0 yds). Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to 37.7 ppg on 497.3 total yards per game (291.7 passing yds/g; 205.7 rushing yds/g). The Rebels have forced 5 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of –1.
The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Rebels are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and just 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing road record.
Outside of their game against the Cal Poly Mustangs, San Jose State hasn’t been able to get anything going on either side the ball as the they’ve lost their other four matchups by a combined score of 213 – 48. UNLV had a tough start to their season after being upset by the FCS Howard Bison, however, rebounded nicely with a convincing win over a decent Idaho Vandals team before being overmatched by the Ohio State Buckeyes. UNLV comes into this matchup with the 8th ranked rushing offense which should have plenty of room to run against the Spartans rush defense that ranked 126th in the country. UNLV has some talent on their roster this season and I just don’t see San Jose State being able to do anything to stop the Rebels offense in this one, I think UNLV will have no problem covering this spread. Take UNLV to cover.