Wisconsin vs. Northwestern - 9/30/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northwestern Wildcats (2-1) at Wisconsin Badgers (3-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 30, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Camp Randall Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Northwestern Wildcats and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action at Camp Randall Stadium on ABC.
The Northwestern Wildcats look for their first road win of the season to make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. The Northwestern Wildcats have won five of their last eight home games. Clayton Thorson is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 842 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Thorson has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last nine games. Bennett Skowronek and Garrett Dickerson have combined for 406 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Flynn Nagel has 10 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 160.3 yards per contest, and Justin Jackson leads the way with 248 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 22.7 points and 410.3 yards per game. Paddy Fisher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 29 tackles, Joe Gaziano has one sack and Montre Hartage has one interception.
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The Wisconsin Badgers look for another victory to start the season 4-0 in back-to-back years. The Wisconsin Badgers have won five straight home games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 70 percent of his passes for 701 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. Hornibrook has moved the chains through the air 30 times this season. Troy Fumagalli and Quintez Cephus have combined for 370 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Danny Davis III has three receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 275.3 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 438 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 10 points and 248 yards per game. Chris Orr leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 17 tackles, Andrew Van Ginkel has two sacks and T.J. Edwards has two interceptions.
The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Badgers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a bye week, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Wisconsin, the home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
The last three meetings between these two teams have been decided by 14 or less points, and Northwestern has been on the winning side in two of those games. However, Northwestern hasn't been the team I expected to see this season, as the defense is ranked 90th in yards allowed per game and Justin Jackson, one of the top running backs in the country, has been held in check for the most part. We also saw the Wildcats get smoked by Duke on the road. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has been hot out the gate and just waxed BYU on the road the last time the Badgers played, which is always an impressive victory given how tough and well coached the Cougars are. Usually I'd consider the points with Northwestern. The talent is still there, but I haven't been impressed the first three weeks. I'll take Wisconsin by two touchdowns.