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Arkansas State at Georgia Southern - 10/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-2) at Georgia Southern Eagles (0-3)

College Football: Wednesday, October 4, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Paulson Stadium)

The Line: Georgia Southern Eagles +7 -- Over/Under: 54.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Georgia Southern Eagles meet Wednesday in college football action at Allen E. Paulson Stadium on ESPN2. 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves look for their first road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last eight road games. Justice Hansen is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 985 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Hansen has two or more touchdown passes in five straight games. Christian Booker and Omar Bayless have combined for 354 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Blake Mack has 13 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 120.6 yards per contest, and Warren Wand leads the way with 215 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 30 points and 440 yards per game. Justin Clifton leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 24 tackles, Clifford Thomas has two sacks and Blaise Taylor has one interception.  

Arkansas State at Georgia Southern - 10/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia Southern Eagles need a victory here to rebound from an 0-3 start and play at home for the first time. The Georgia Southern Eagles have won three of their last five home games. Shai Werts is completing 47.7 percent of his passes for 230 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Werts has moved the chains seven times through the air this season. D'Ondre Glenn and Mark Michaud have combined for 137 receiving yards and one touchdown while Ellis Richardson has two receptions. The Georgia Southern Eagles ground game is averaging 181.6 yards per contest, and Werts leads the way with 179 yards on 67 carries. Defensively, Georgia Southern is allowing 38.3 points and 425.3 yards per game. Rashad Byrd leads the Georgia Southern Eagles with 17 tackles, Logan Hunt has two sacks and Jay Bowdry has one interception.

The Red Wolves are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 home games and the under is 6-1 in Red Wolves last 7 road games.

There's always value with home dogs in the middle of the week, as the crowd usually shows up and weird things happen. This should be an easier game for Georgia Southern considering its had a rough schedule that included Auburn and Indiana, but the Eagles struggle big time to put points on the board, as they even dropped just 12 points against New Hampshire. On the flipside, Arkansas State's only victory came against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and was just beat up by SMU. The Red Wolves are 105th in yards allowed per game and that has to give the Eagles confidence that this is a game they can finally have some success on offense. If I had to pick this game, I'd take the free touchdown as more of a fade from Arkansas State, as I don't trust teams that can't get stops.

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